Temporal variability of drought in field crops in the region of Kujawsko-Pomorskie, Poland
2018
Kusmierek-Tomaszewska, R., UTP Univ. of Science and Technology, Bydgoszcz (Poland) | Dudek, S., UTP Univ. of Science and Technology, Bydgoszcz (Poland) | Zarski, J., UTP Univ. of Science and Technology, Bydgoszcz (Poland) | Januszewska-Klapa, K., UTP Univ. of Science and Technology, Bydgoszcz (Poland)
The objective of the work, carried out as part of research programme on current change of the regional climate, was to confirm the hypothesis about the increasing frequency and intensity of droughts in May and June in the region of Kujawsko-Pomorskie (central Poland) in the years 1981 – 2010. Furthermore, the aim was to confirm a significant relationship between indicators characterizing meteorological and agricultural droughts. Material for the research was the data from five meteorological measuring points located in the region. Atmospheric precipitation and air temperature in the period of high water needs of cereals and rapeseed (May–June) were used. Statistical methods widespread in climatological studies were applied, particularly the method of trends. The average multiannual totals (1981–2010) of rainfall in May–June allow ranking the region of Kujawsko-Pomorskie into the area of the lowest rainfall in Poland. The frequency of meteorological drought in May and June is 23.3–30.0% in the region. In the analysed period there were no significant changes in the frequency and intensity of these droughts with the passage of years. Rainfall shortages in cereal crops and rapeseed production range on average from -19 to -35 mm, and extend to maximum of -93 to -117 mm. The values of shortages did not show any significant changes in the years of the study. The significant dependence between the indicators of meteorological and agricultural droughts allows for determination of the rainfall shortages in crop production on the basis of the SPI values.
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