Perception and scenario building for South Bay communities of Laguna de Bay, Laguna, Philippines
2018
Rebancos, C.M. | Espaldon, M.V.O. | Alaira, S.A. | Macale, L.S.
The study was conducted through a scenario building exercise using Focused Group Discussions and Key Informant Interviews as tools to capture perception of communities from South Bay. Municipalities of Calamba, Los Baños and Bay, Laguna. The output were perceived future lake conditions that details direction towards which the lake would develop 20-50 years with current year as point of reference while at the same time, establishing past condition and present use of the lake to establish motivation and drivers of change as the community sees them. The outputs of the activity are scenarios categorized into four. The first scenario is Business as usual. The community envisions lake characterized by declining fish populations, more garbage, more chemical and toxic wastes coming from industrial parks and factories, shallower depth of the lake, more reclaimed areas resulting from increased residential areas as subdivision and industries. The second scenario is the establishment of Mega Dike perceived to boost the industrial development particularly of municipalities along its path. The lake would be reclaimed for residential and commercial purposes, fishing industries would decline, problem on waste is prevalent, and the lake water would have been polluted. The third scenario, and the most desired future condition is the Restored Lake where the lake's water is clear, deep and teeming with native fish. Open fishing has access to grater areas of the lake. The fourth and last scenario is ecotourism where the lake's potentials as a tourist destination would be developed and showcased. Given these scenarios, authors conceptualized optimal lake use which balances fisheries, ecotourism, water resources, power generation, and lake rehabilitation.
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