Assessing Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Land Use and Cover Change and Carbon Storage in China’s Ecological Conservation Pilot Zone: A Case Study in Fujian Province

Many strategies have been put forward to seek green and low-carbon development, some of which are achieved through land use and cover change (LUCC). A series of land management policies related to LUCC and corresponding changes in carbon dynamics were released with the implementation of the Ecological Conservation Pilot Zone Program (ECPZP) in China. We explored the spatiotemporal dynamics of LUCC and carbon storage in the first ECPZP implementation region (Fujian province) at the time before and after ECPZP implementation using a simplified carbon pools model and quantified the relative impacts of human activities and climate change on net primary productivity (NPP) employing residual analysis. This can fill the gap of land use and vegetation changes and the corresponding carbon dynamics in the ECPZP region and can serve as a reference for future land management policy revisions and ECPZP project extensions. The results showed that: (1) In 1990–2020, woodland, cultivated land, and grassland were the leading land use type in Fujian province. The area of LUCC was 11,707.75 km², and it was predominantly caused by the conversion from cultivated land to built-up land, and the interconversion between woodland and grassland. (2) An increase of 9.74 Tg in carbon storage was mainly caused by vegetation conversion from 1990 to 2020. (3) The statistically significant increased area of climate change-induced NPP was 2.3% primarily in the northwest, but the decreased area of it statistically significantly was only 0.1%. Correspondingly, the increased area of statistically significant human activity-induced NPP was 8.7% primarily in the southeast, but the decreased area of statistically significance was 6.5%, mostly in the central region. In addition, the statistically significant areas of NPP caused by the combination of human activities and climate change differed by 1.8%. To sum up, ECPZP makes full use of the vertical mountain landscape and property right reform to effectively secure ecological space and local income. Moreover, urbanization-related policies are an essential impetus for LUCC and carbon balance. The impact of other built-up land expansion on environmental change needs to be paid particular attention to. Moreover, land-use activities in the centre of the study region that are not conducive to NPP growth should be judiciously assessed in the future.