Crop modelling for integrated assessment of risk to food production from climate change
2015
Ewert, F. | Rotter, R. P. | Bindi, M. | Webber, H. | Trnka, M. | Kersebaum, K. C. | Olesen, J. E. | van Ittersum, M. K. | Janssen, S. | Rivington, M. | Semenov, M. A. | Wallach, Daniel, D. | Porter, J. R. | Stewart, D. | Verhagen, J. | Gaiser, T. | Palosuo, T. | Tao, F. | Nendel, C. | Roggero, P. P. | Bartosova, L. | Asseng, S. | Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universität Bonn | Plant Production Research ; Agrifood Research Finland | Department of Agri-Food Production and Environmental Sciences ; Università degli Studi di Firenze = University of Florence = Université de Florence (UniFI) | Mendel University in Brno (MENDELU) | Global Change Research Centre (CzechGlobe) | Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung = Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF) | Department of Agroecology ; Aarhus University [Aarhus] | Plant Production Systems Group ; Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR) | Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR) | The James Hutton Institute | Computational and Systems Biology Department ; Rothamsted Research ; Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC)-Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (BBSRC) | AGroécologie, Innovations, teRritoires (AGIR) ; Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP) ; Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT) | Natural Resources Institute ; Universidade Federal de Itajubá = Federal University of Itajubá | Faculty of Sciences ; University of South Bohemia [České Budějovice, Czechia] | Norwegian Institute for Agricultural and Environmental Research (Bioforsk) | Plant Research International (PRI) ; Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen] (WUR) | Università degli Studi di Sassari = University of Sassari [Sassari] (UNISS) | Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering [Gainesville] (UF|ABE) ; Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences [Gainesville] (UF|IFAS) ; University of Florida [Gainesville] (UF)-University of Florida [Gainesville] (UF) | FACCE-JPI knowledge hub ; project MACSUR ;National Agency for Agricultural Research QJ1310123 ; InterDrought project OP VK CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0248 ;German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) through WASCAL (West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use) 01LG1202A
International audience
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]إنجليزي. The complexity of risks posed by climate change and possible adaptations for crop production has called for integrated assessment and modelling (IAM) approaches linking biophysical and economic models. This paper attempts to provide an overview of the present state of crop modelling to assess climate change risks to food production and to which extent crop models comply with IAM demands. Considerable progress has been made in modelling effects of climate variables, where crop models best satisfy IAM demands. Demands are partly satisfied for simulating commonly required assessment variables. However, progress on the number of simulated crops, uncertainty propagation related to model parameters and structure, adaptations and scaling are less advanced and lagging behind IAM demands. The limitations are considered substantial and apply to a different extent to all crop models. Overcoming these limitations will require joint efforts, and consideration of novel modelling approaches.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]الكلمات المفتاحية الخاصة بالمكنز الزراعي (أجروفوك)
المعلومات البيبليوغرافية
تم تزويد هذا السجل من قبل Institut national de la recherche agronomique