Multiple Country Approach to Improve the Test-Day Prediction of Dairy Cows’ Dry Matter Intake
2021
Anthony Tedde | Clément Grelet | Phuong N. Ho | Jennie E. Pryce | Dagnachew Hailemariam | Zhiquan Wang | Graham Plastow | Nicolas Gengler | Eric Froidmont | Frédéric Dehareng | Carlo Bertozzi | Mark A. Crowe | Hélène Soyeurt | on behalf of the GplusE Consortium
We predicted dry matter intake of dairy cows using parity, week of lactation, milk yield, milk mid-infrared (MIR) spectrum, and MIR-based predictions of bodyweight, fat, protein, lactose, and fatty acids content in milk. The dataset comprised 10,711 samples of 534 dairy cows with a geographical diversity (Australia, Canada, Denmark, and Ireland). We set up partial least square (PLS) regressions with different constructs and a one-hidden-layer artificial neural network (ANN) using the highest contribution variables. In the ANN, we replaced the spectra with their projections to the 25 first PLS factors explaining 99% of the spectral variability to reduce the model complexity. Cow-independent 10 × 10-fold cross-validation (CV) achieved the best performance with root mean square errors (RMSE<sub>CV</sub>) of 3.27 ± 0.08 kg for the PLS regression and 3.25 ± 0.13 kg for ANN. Although the available data were significantly different, we also performed a country-independent validation (CIV) to measure the models’ performance fairly. We found RMSE<sub>CIV</sub> varying from 3.73 to 6.03 kg for PLS and 3.69 to 5.08 kg for ANN. Ultimately, based on the country-independent validation, we discussed the developed models’ performance with those achieved by the National Research Council’s equation.
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