Simulation of the effect of the global bioethanol market on international corn price: Impact of U.S. and main producers' production and Japanese import
2019
Koizumi, T. (Policy Research Institute (Japan))
This study examines how the U.S. and bioethanol production from EU28, China, Canada, Argentina and Brazil, and Japanese bioethanol import from the U.S. will impact the international corn price by utilizing a dynamic partial equilibrium model. The result of this study indicates that Japanese bioethanol import impact is small, but the U.S. and other countries' and regions' bioethanol productions will impact international prices by 29.4% and by 3.6% from 2017 to 2027. This means that global and U.S. bioethanol production plays a crucial role in setting the floor price effect for international corn price.
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