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Evaluating the spatiotemporal ozone characteristics with high-resolution predictions in mainland China, 2013–2019
2022
Meng, Xia | Wang, Weidong | Shi, Su | Zhu, Shengqiang | Wang, Peng | Chen, Renjie | Xiao, Qingyang | Xue, Tao | Geng, Guannan | Zhang, Qiang | Kan, Haidong | Zhang, Hongliang
Evaluating ozone levels at high resolutions and accuracy is crucial for understanding the spatiotemporal characteristics of ozone distribution and assessing ozone exposure levels in epidemiological studies. The national models with high spatiotemporal resolutions to predict ground ozone concentrations are limited in China so far. In this study, we aimed to develop a random forest model by combining ground ozone measurements from fixed stations, ozone simulations from the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system, meteorological parameters, population density, road length, and elevation to predict ground maximum daily 8-h average (MDA8) ozone concentrations at a daily level and 1 km × 1 km spatial resolution. The model cross-validation R² and root mean squared error (RMSE) were 0.80 and 20.93 μg/m³ at daily level in 2013–2019, respectively. CMAQ ozone simulations and near-surface temperature played vital roles in predicting ozone concentrations among all predictors. The population-weighted median concentrations of predicted MDA8 ozone were 89.34 μg/m³ in mainland China in 2013, and reached 100.96 μg/m³ in 2019. However, the long-term temporal variations among regions were heterogeneous. Central and Eastern China, as well as the Southeast Coastal Area, suffered higher ozone pollution and higher increased rates of ozone concentrations from 2013 to 2019. The seasonal pattern of ozone pollution varied spatially. The peak-season ozone pollution with the highest 6-month ozone concentrations occurred in different months among regions, with more than half domain in April–September. The predictions showed that not only the annual mean concentrations but also the percentages of grid-days with MDA8 ozone concentrations higher than 100/160 μg/m³ have been increasing in the past few years in China; meanwhile, majority areas in mainland China suffered peak-season ozone concentrations higher than the air quality guidelines launched by the World Health Organization in September 2021. The proposed model and ozone predictions with high spatiotemporal resolution and full coverage could provide health studies with flexible choices to evaluate ozone exposure levels at multiple spatiotemporal scales in the future.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Estimating organic aerosol emissions from cooking in winter over the Pearl River Delta region, China
2022
Xing, Li | Fu, Tzung-May | Liu, Tengyu | Qin, Yiming | Zhou, Liyuan | Chan, Chak K. | Guo, Hai | Yao, Dawen | Duan, Keqin
Cooking is an important source of organic aerosols (OA), particularly in urban areas, but it has not been explicitly included in current emission inventories in China. This study estimated the organic aerosol emissions from cooking during winter over the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region, China. Using the retrieved hourly cooking organic aerosol (COA) concentrations at two sites in Hong Kong and Guangzhou, population density, and daily per capita COA emissions, we determined the spatial and temporal distribution of COA emissions over the PRD region based on two approaches by treating COA as non-volatile (NVCOA) and semi-volatile (SVCOA), respectively. By using the estimated COA emissions and the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem) model, we reproduced the diurnal cycles of COA concentrations at the PolyU site in Hong Kong and Panyu site in Guangzhou. We also resolved the different patterns of COA between weekdays and weekends. The mean COA concentration during wintertime over the urban areas of the PRD region was 0.7 μg m⁻³ and 0.9 μg m⁻³ for the NVCOA and SVCOA cases, respectively, contributing 5.1% and 6.9% to the urban OA concentrations. The total COA emissions in winter over the PRD region were estimated to be 3.5 × 10⁸ g month⁻¹ and 3.8 × 10⁸ g month⁻¹ for the NVCOA and SVCOA cases, respectively, adding 34.8% and 37.8% to the total primary organic aerosol emissions. Considering COA emissions in the model increased the mean regional OA concentrations by 4.6% and 7.4% for the NVCOA and SVCOA cases, respectively. Our study therefore highlights the importance of cooking activities to OA concentrations in winter over the PRD region.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Tracing out the effect of transportation infrastructure on NO2 concentration levels with Kernel Density Estimation by investigating successive COVID-19-induced lockdowns
2022
Kovács, Kamill Dániel | Haidu, Ionel
This study aims to investigate the effect of transportation infrastructure on the decrease of NO₂ air pollution during three COVID-19-induced lockdowns in a vast region of France. For this purpose, using Sentinel-5P satellite data, the relative change in tropospheric NO₂ air pollution during the three lockdowns was calculated. The estimation of regional infrastructure intensity was performed using Kernel Density Estimation, being the predictor variable. By performing hotspot–coldspot analysis on the relative change in NO₂ air pollution, significant spatial clusters of decreased air pollution during the three lockdowns were identified. Based on the clusters, a novel spatial index, the Clustering Index (CI) was developed using its Coldspot Clustering Index (CCI) variant as a predicted variable in the regression model between infrastructure intensity and NO₂ air pollution decline. The analysis revealed that during the three lockdowns there was a strong and statistically significant relationship between the transportation infrastructure and the decline index, CCI (r = 0.899, R² = 0.808). The results showed that the largest decrease in NO₂ air pollution was recorded during the first lockdown, and in this case, there was the strongest inverse correlation with transportation infrastructure (r = −0.904, R² = 0.818). Economic and population predictors also explained with good fit the decrease in NO₂ air pollution during the first lockdown: GDP (R² = 0.511), employees (R² = 0.513), population density (R² = 0.837). It is concluded that not only economic-population variables determined the reduction of near-surface air pollution but also the transportation infrastructure. Further studies are recommended to investigate other pollutant gases as predicted variables.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Characteristics of annual N2O and NO fluxes from Chinese urban turfgrasses
2021
Zhan, Yang | Xie, Junfei | Yao, Zhisheng | Wang, Rui | He, Xingjia | Wang, Yan | Zheng, Xunhua
Urban turfgrass ecosystems are expected to increase at unprecedented rates in upcoming decades, due to the increasing population density and urban sprawl worldwide. However, so far urban turfgrasses are among the least understood of all terrestrial ecosystems concerning their impact on biogeochemical N cycling and associated nitrous oxide (N₂O) and nitric oxide (NO) fluxes. In this study, we aimed to characterize and quantify annual N₂O and NO fluxes from urban turfgrasses dominated by either C4, warm-season species or C3, cool-season and shade-enduring species, based on year-round field measurements in Beijing, China. Our results showed that soil N₂O and NO fluxes varied substantially within the studied year, characterizing by higher emissions during the growing season and lower fluxes during the non-growing season. The regression model fitted by soil temperature and soil water content explained approximately 50%–70% and 31%–38% of the variance in N₂O and NO fluxes, respectively. Annual cumulative emissions for all urban turfgrasses ranged from 0.75 to 1.27 kg N ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ for N₂O and from 0.30 to 0.46 kg N ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ for NO, both are generally higher than those of Chinese natural grasslands. Non-growing season fluxes contributed 17%–37% and 23%–30% to the annual budgets of N₂O and NO, respectively. Our results also showed that compared to the cool-season turfgrass, annual N₂O and NO emissions were greatly reduced by the warm-season turfgrass, with the high root system limiting the availability of inorganic N substrates to soil microbial processes of nitrification and denitrification. This study indicates the importance of enhanced N retention of urban turfgrasses through the management of effective species for alleviating the potential environmental impacts of these rapidly expanding ecosystems.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Modelling local nanobiomaterial release and concentration hotspots in the environment
2021
Hauser, Marina | Nowack, Bernd
Nanobiomaterials (NBMs) are a special category of nanomaterials used in medicine. As applications of NBMs are very similar to pharmaceuticals, their environmental release patterns are likely similar as well. Different pharmaceuticals were detected in surface waters all over the world. Consequently, there exists a need to identify possible NBM exposure routes into the environment. As the application of many NBMs is only carried out at specific locations (hospitals), average predicted environmental concentrations (PECs) may not accurately represent their release to the environment. We estimated the local release of poly(lactic-co-glycolic acid) (PLGA), which is investigated for their use in drug delivery, to Swiss surface waters by using population data as well as type, size and location of hospitals as proxies. The total mean consumption of PGLA in Switzerland using an explorative full-market penetration scenario was calculated to be 770 kg/year. 105 hospitals were considered, which were connected to wastewater treatment plants and the receiving water body using graphic information system (GIS) modelling. The water body dataset contained 20,167 river segments and 210 lake polygons. Using the discharge of the river, we were able to calculate the PECs in different river segments. While we calculated high PLGA releases of 2.24 and 2.03 kg/year in large cities such as Geneva or Zurich, the resulting local PECs of 220 and 660 pg/l, respectively, were low due to the high river discharge (330 and 97 m³/s). High PLGA concentrations (up to 7,900 pg/l) on the other hand were calculated around smaller cities with local hospitals but also smaller receiving rivers (between 0.7 and 1.9 m³/s). Therefore, we conclude that population density does not accurately predict local concentration hotspots of NBMs, such as PLGA, that are administered in a hospital context. In addition, even at the locations with the highest predicted PLGA concentrations, the expected risk is low.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Emerging organic contaminants in groundwater under a rapidly developing city (Patna) in northern India dominated by high concentrations of lifestyle chemicals
2021
Richards, Laura A. | Kumari, Rupa | White, Debbie | Parashar, Neha | Kumar, Arun | Ghosh, Ashok | Sumant Kumar, | Chakravorty, Biswajit | Lu, Chuanhe | Civil, Wayne | Lapworth, Dan J. | Krause, Stephan | Polya, David A. | Gooddy, Daren C.
Aquatic pollution from emerging organic contaminants (EOCs) is of key environmental importance in India and globally, particularly due to concerns of antimicrobial resistance, ecotoxicity and drinking water supply vulnerability. Here, using a broad screening approach, we characterize the composition and distribution of EOCs in groundwater in the Gangetic Plain around Patna (Bihar), as an exemplar of a rapidly developing urban area in northern India. A total of 73 EOCs were detected in 51 samples, typically at ng.L⁻¹ to low μg.L⁻¹ concentrations, relating to medical and veterinary, agrochemical, industrial and lifestyle usage. Concentrations were often dominated by the lifestyle chemical and artificial sweetener sucralose. Seventeen identified EOCs are flagged as priority compounds by the European Commission, World Health Organisation and/or World Organisation for Animal Health: namely, herbicides diuron and atrazine; insecticides imidacloprid, thiamethoxam, clothianidin and acetamiprid; the surfactant perfluorooctane sulfonate (and related perfluorobutane sulfonate, perfluorohexane sulfonate, perfluorooctanoic acid and perfluoropentane sulfonate); and medical/veterinary compounds sulfamethoxazole, sulfanilamide, dapson, sulfathiazole, sulfamethazine and diclofenac. The spatial distribution of EOCs varies widely, with concentrations declining with depth, consistent with a strong dominant vertical flow control. Groundwater EOC concentrations in Patna were found to peak within ∼10 km distance from the River Ganges, indicating mainly urban inputs with some local pollution hotspots. A heterogeneous relationship between EOCs and population density likely reflects confounding factors including varying input types and controls (e.g. spatial, temporal), wastewater treatment infrastructure and groundwater abstraction. Strong seasonal agreement in EOC concentrations was observed. Co-existence of limited transformation products with associated parent compounds indicate active microbial degradation processes. This study characterizes key controls on the distribution of groundwater EOCs across the urban to rural transition near Patna, as a rapidly developing Indian city, and contributes to the wider understanding of the vulnerability of shallow groundwater to surface-derived contamination in similar environments.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Links between air pollution and COVID-19 in England
2021
Travaglio, Marco | Yu, Yizhou | Popovic, Rebeka | Selley, Liza | Leal, Nuno Santos | Martins, Luis Miguel
In December 2019, a novel disease, coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19), emerged in Wuhan, People’s Republic of China. COVID-19 is caused by a novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) presumed to have jumped species from another mammal to humans. This virus has caused a rapidly spreading global pandemic. To date, over 300,000 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in England and over 40,000 patients have died. While progress has been achieved in managing this disease, the factors in addition to age that affect the severity and mortality of COVID-19 have not been clearly identified. Recent studies of COVID-19 in several countries identified links between air pollution and death rates. Here, we explored potential links between major fossil fuel-related air pollutants and SARS-CoV-2 mortality in England. We compared current SARS-CoV-2 cases and deaths from public databases to both regional and subregional air pollution data monitored at multiple sites across England. After controlling for population density, age and median income, we show positive relationships between air pollutant concentrations, particularly nitrogen oxides, and COVID-19 mortality and infectivity. Using detailed UK Biobank data, we further show that PM₂.₅ was a major contributor to COVID-19 cases in England, as an increase of 1 m³ in the long-term average of PM₂.₅ was associated with a 12% increase in COVID-19 cases. The relationship between air pollution and COVID-19 withstands variations in the temporal scale of assessments (single-year vs 5-year average) and remains significant after adjusting for socioeconomic, demographic and health-related variables. We conclude that a small increase in air pollution leads to a large increase in the COVID-19 infectivity and mortality rate in England. This study provides a framework to guide both health and emissions policies in countries affected by this pandemic.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Enabling a large-scale assessment of litter along Saudi Arabian red sea shores by combining drones and machine learning
2021
Martin, Cecilia | Zhang, Qiannan | Zhai, Dongjun | Zhang, Xiangliang | Duarte, Carlos M.
Beach litter assessments rely on time inefficient and high human cost protocols, mining the attainment of global beach litter estimates. Here we show the application of an emerging technique, the use of drones for acquisition of high-resolution beach images coupled with machine learning for their automatic processing, aimed at achieving the first national-scale beach litter survey completed by only one operator. The aerial survey had a time efficiency of 570 ± 40 m² min⁻¹ and the machine learning reached a mean (±SE) detection sensitivity of 59 ± 3% with high resolution images. The resulting mean (±SE) litter density on Saudi Arabian shores of the Red Sea is of 0.12 ± 0.02 litter items m⁻², distributed independently of the population density in the area around the sampling station. Instead, accumulation of litter depended on the exposure of the beach to the prevailing wind and litter composition differed between islands and the main shore, where recreational activities are the major source of anthropogenic debris.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Early life exposure to air pollution, green spaces and built environment, and body mass index growth trajectories during the first 5 years of life: A large longitudinal study
2020
de Bont, Jeroen | Hughes, Rachael | Tilling, Kate | Díaz, Yesika | de Castro, Montserrat | Cirach, Marta | Fossati, Serena | Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark | Duarte-Salles, Talita | Vrijheid, Martine
Urban environments are characterized by multiple exposures that may influence body mass index (BMI) growth in early life. Previous studies are few, with inconsistent results and no evaluation of simultaneous exposures. Thus, this study aimed to assess the associations between exposure to air pollution, green spaces and built environment characteristics, and BMI growth trajectories from 0 to 5 years. This longitudinal study used data from an electronic primary care health record database in Catalonia (Spain), including 79,992 children born between January 01, 2011 and December 31, 2012 in urban areas and followed until 5 years of age. Height and weight were measured frequently during childhood and BMI (kg/m²) was calculated. Urban exposures were estimated at census tract level and included: air pollution (nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), particulate matter <10 μm (PM₁₀) and <2.5 μm (PM₂.₅₎), green spaces (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and % green space) and built environment (population density, street connectivity, land use mix, walkability index). Individual BMI trajectories were estimated using linear spline multilevel models with several knot points. In single exposure models, NO₂, PM₁₀, PM₂.₅, and population density were associated with small increases in BMI growth (e.g. β per IQR PM₁₀ increase = 0.023 kg/m², 95%CI: 0.013, 0.033), and NDVI, % of green spaces and land use mix with small reductions in BMI growth (e.g. β per IQR % green spaces increase = −0.015 kg/m², 95%CI: −0.026, −0.005). These associations were strongest during the first two months of life. In multiple exposure models, most associations were attenuated, with only those for PM₁₀ and land use mix remaining statistically significant. This large longitudinal study suggests that early life exposure to air pollution, green space and built environment characteristics may be associated with small changes in BMI growth trajectories during the first years of life, and that it is important to account for multiple exposures in urban settings.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]A new spatially explicit model of population risk level grid identification for children and adults to urban soil PAHs
2020
Li, Fufu | Wu, Shaohua | Wang, Yuanmin | Yan, Daohao | Qiu, Lefeng | Xu, Zhenci
The traditional incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR) model of urban soil polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) health risk assessment has a large spatial scale and commonly calculates relevant statistics by regarding the whole area as a geographic unit but fails to consider the high heterogeneity of the PAH distribution and differences in population susceptibility and density in an area. Therefore, the risk assessment spatial performance is insufficient and does not reflect the characteristics of cities, which are centered on human activities and serve the needs of humans, thus making it difficult to effectively support PAH prevention and treatment measures in cities. Here, the random forest model combined with the kriging residual model (RFerr-K) is used to estimate high-precision PAH distributions, separately considering the exposure characteristics of children and adults with different susceptibilities, and kindergarten point-of-interest (POI) and population density index (PDI) data were used to estimate the distributions of the kindergarten children and adults in the study area. Through the refined expression of these three dimensions, a new spatially explicit model of the incremental lifetime cancer-causing population distribution (MapPILCR) was constructed, and the risk threshold range delineation method was proposed to accurately identify regional risk levels. The results showed that the RFerr-K model significantly improves the accuracy of PAH prediction. The susceptibility index (SI) of children is 45% higher than that of adults, and POI and PDI data can be used effectively in population distribution estimation. The MapPILCR model provides a useful method for the spatially explicit assessment of the cancer risk of urban populations to inspire urban pollution grid management.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]