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Determining the COVID-19 effects on spillover between oil market and stock exchange: a global perspective analysis
2022
Yan, Ran | Cao, Fuguo | Gao, Ke
This paper investigates volatility spillovers between the global crude oil market and the stock markets of the global oil stock markets (Russian, Canada, China, Kuwait, and the USA) pre and after the COVID-19 pandemic. We use wavelet Granger causality methods to study the volatility spillovers between global oil stock markets, mainly from January 1, 2019, to March 31, 2021. Our Results (1) shows that WTI and Brent oil prices had a negative mean return before COVID-19 but a positive mean return during the pandemic spread. Other Results (2) find the positive, significantly lowest, and highest frequency during the COVID-19 outbreak for all selected countries. The results also show that the link between oil WTI & Brent prices and stock markets return in the lowest (33-66 days) and highest frequency range (4-16) before the Covid-19 epidemic, especially in the first quarter of 2020. Before the COVID-19 period, the Russian oil stock market is seriously prejudiced with oil prices on a modest scale, but not after the pandemic's start. This study also perceives direction opposite between the COVID-19 period. The Canadian and United States America oil and stock markets influence the lowest scale in the previous COVID-19 sample for the U.S. market. Moreover, this paper exposed that oil marketing highest oil futures in their portfolios than stock shares for all times. We found that oil price shocks had a more significant impact on the stock markets of the United States and Canada than on the stock markets of other countries.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Key factors affecting carbon prices from a time-varying perspective
2022
Li, Mingfang | Hu, Hui | ZHAO, Lu-Tao
For humankind to sustain a livable atmosphere on the planet, many countries have committed to achieving carbon neutralization. Countries mainly reduce carbon emissions by regulations through a carbon tax or by establishing a carbon market using economic stimuli. In this paper, we use the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method to select the key determinants of a carbon market and then use the Markov switching vector autoregression (MSVAR) model to study the market’s driving factors and analyze its time-varying characteristics. The results show that there are perceptible time-varying characteristics and notable differences among markets. During COVID-19, energy factors had a long-term shock on the carbon market, economic factors had a short-term shock on the carbon market, and the economic recession has led to fluctuations in the carbon market. In addition, through MSVAR, the results show that the energy market has a negative effect on the carbon market, and the stock market has a positive effect on the carbon market. In periods of low volatility, compared with the natural gas market and coal market, the oil market has a stronger shock on the carbon market. In periods of high volatility, the coal market has a stronger shock on the carbon market. In terms of emission reduction, countries around the world would be wise to change their energy consumption structure, reduce coal use, and shift to a cleaner energy consumption structure.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Exploring determinants of financial system and environmental quality in high-income developed countries of the world: the demonstration of robust penal data estimation techniques
2021
Zeeshan, Muhammad | Han, Jiabin | Rehman, Alam | Irfan Ullah, | Alam Afridi, Fakhr E
The financial system development has got considerable attention due to its association with the environment of the country. To address the apprehension of the researchers about the effect of the determinants of the financial system on the environmental quality of high-income developed countries, we analyze the data of twenty developed countries with sound and strong financial systems for the period 2001 to 2018. We consider both banking development and stock market development as the main key determinants of the financial system. We employ numerous modern-day penal data estimation techniques, namely Dynamic Penal GMM in both linear and non-linear form, Common Correlated Effect Mean Group (CCEMG), and Dynamic Fixed Effect for capturing the issues of heterogeneity, endogeneity, and cross-sectional dependence. Our results show that banking development substantiates the environmental quality in high-income developed countries. The positive gesture of the banking development on environmental quality could be the reason for the established environmentally friendly policies in the developed part of the world. Hence, we conclude that banking development in high-income developed countries significantly reduces the emissions of dangerous gases, which resultantly enhances the environmental quality. The study reveals an insignificant and tenuous impact of the market development on the environmental quality that might be due to the adoption of cleaner technologies by firms in the developed world that are environmentally friendly. The results of our long-term estimations also predict the significant effect of banking development and an insignificant effect of the market development on environmental quality. In addition, our results also demonstrate an inverted U-shaped relationship of the determinants of the financial system and environmental quality. More institutional and legal initiatives must be made for a more robust banking and stock market development framework by the policy makers with a view to substantiating the quality of the environment to a more sustainable level in the developed world.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Smog, media attention, and corporate social responsibility—empirical evidence from Chinese polluting listed companies
2021
Xiong, Guobao | Luo, Yuanda
In recent years, the frequent occurrence of smog in Chinese cities has prompted great changes in the policy environment faced by enterprises. In this study, we address the question whether the decision-making behavior of enterprises will be affected by smog. This paper studied the 2010–2018 data of 218 listed Chinese polluting companies to investigate the impact of smog on corporate social responsibility (CSR). The subjects of this study were all listed on China’s A-share market on either the Shenzhen or Shanghai Stock Exchange. The empirical results indicate the following: (1) the more serious the smog, the more likely enterprises are to perform CSR; (2) smog exerts a higher impact on the social responsibility of enterprises that receive more media attention. Further research determined that media attention, whether positive, negative, or neutral, plays the same role in moderating the relationship between smog and CSR; and (3) compared to private enterprises, the function of smog in promoting the CSR fulfillment of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) is more obvious. Based on the reality of Chinese polluting industries, this research combined smog and media attention in the exploration of CSR, which not only enriches CSR research but also provides positive guidance for the sustainable development of polluting enterprises.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Does technological innovation limit trade-adjusted carbon emissions?
2021
Wahab, Salman
The objective of this analysis is to examine the impact of international trade and technological innovation over the 1990–2018 period on the G7 economy’s consumption-based carbon emissions. The report explores international trade by separately considering imports and exports. The results indicate that the data cross-sections are dependent and that the panel has slope heterogeneity. The results of the co-integration study indicate that imports, exports of technological innovation, GDP, and demand-related carbon emissions are co-integrated with systemic splits (2001 mild recession, 2008 financial crises, and 2011 decline of stock market, and 2014 export decline). The cross sectionally augmented autoregressive distributive lag model results show that technological innovation and exports have a negative effect on the use of carbon. Meanwhile, imports and GDP are positive associated with carbon emissions based on consumption. The analysis of the robustness test also verifies these impacts. The results of this research study show that policymakers and regulators can encourage technological innovation to reduce carbon pollution and improve the sustainability of the environment.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Evolving time-varying market efficiency of energy stock market
2020
Fazlollahi, Negar | Ozatac, Nesrin | Gokmenoglu, Korhan K.
Energy stocks have become an essential segment of the investment portfolios of both households and institutional investors. This study investigates the dynamic aspect of evolving weak-form efficiency in six energy stock markets: those of the United States (US), Canada, China, Australia, India, and Saudi Arabia. The generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic in the mean GARCH-M(1,1) method is applied, alongside the state-space time-varying approaches with the Kalman filter estimation, to detect the evolving efficiency for periods ending in November 2019. The empirical results reveal that the studied markets undergo various extents of time-varying efficiency, containing periods of efficiency enhancement as well as periods of deviation from efficiency. Meanwhile, the 2007–2009 global financial crisis and the 2015 changes in the energy sector—in addition to other contemporaneous crises—have a profound influence on the timeline of market efficiency evolution. Overall, all of the markets gradually became more efficient, apart from India’s energy market as a result of the current energy crisis in India. Amid the energy markets explored in this study, the US energy market was found to be the most efficient.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Impact of globalization, institutional quality, economic growth, electricity and renewable energy consumption on Carbon Dioxide Emission in OECD countries
2022
Cao, Huimin | Khan, Muhammad Kamran | Rehman, Abdul | Dagar, Vishal | Oryani, Bahareh | Tanveer, Arifa
This research for the first time examines the influence of the financial development, stock market, globalization, institutional quality, economic growth, electricity, and renewable energy consumption on carbon dioxide emission from 1985 to 2018 in thirty-six (OECD) countries. Cointegrations exist in the used variables based on the examined findings of the Kao, Westerlund, and Pedroni cointegration. Findings of the pooled mean group (PMG) indicate that renewable energy consumption, globalization, and institutional quality assist to reduce the carbon dioxide emission that improve the environment while financial development, stock market, electricity consumption, and economic growth cause to increase the carbon dioxide emission in OECD countries both in the long and in the short run. To reduce carbon dioxide emission, important policy implications are suggested for OECD countries.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Nonlinear dependence between China’s carbon market and stock market: new evidence from quantile coherency and causality-in-quantiles
2022
Jiang, Yonghong | Liu, Lu | Mu, Jinqi
This study examines the nonlinear dependence between carbon market and stock market in China under normal and extreme market conditions by employing two novel nonlinear approaches, namely, quantile coherency and causality-in-quantiles methods. Given our results on the overall and sector level of stock market, we find that there is a negative dependence between the two markets under bearish and normal market states in the short- and medium-term respectively, while the dependence becomes positive under bearish and bullish market states in the long-term. Furthermore, we also prove that the Granger causality from carbon market to stock market exists. However, no evident impacts from stock market to carbon market have been found. Additionally, at sector stock market, we discover heterogeneity across market conditions. And emission-intensive sector stock indices are more affected by carbon prices.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Oil price shocks, stock market returns, and volatility spillovers: a bibliometric analysis and its implications
2022
Bashir, Muhammad Farhan
The current research paper identifies the current dynamics in the oil price-stock market nexus to provide a research overview and suggest further research directions. We used bibliometrix R package to examine 684 studies to identify research trends in oil price shocks, stock market returns, and volatility spillover effects. We recognize the most influential authors, publications, and research institutions and their significance within the current scientific literature. We further analyzed research themes to observe impediments in the existing literature and suggest new research directions to summarize that disaggregated sectoral analysis and meta-analysis approach by including moderator analysis will broaden the research contribution in the future. Lastly, we conclude our investigation by identifying new research avenues.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Heterogeneous impacts of financial development on carbon emissions: evidence from China’s provincial data
2022
Liu, Hongyan | Gong, Guofei
The effect of financial development on carbon emissions is a hot topic. Although some researches study the heterogeneous impacts of financial development on carbon emissions at the country level, few paper has investigated their heterogeneous relations within the same country. This paper, applying geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR), studies the spatial–temporal heterogeneity of the impacts of financial development on carbon emissions across China’s 30 provinces from 2003 to 2017. The results show that financial development proxied by bank credit indicators curbs carbon emissions in most provinces most of the time, while that proxied by stock market indicator exhibits nonlinear relationships in most provinces, such as U-shaped, inverse U-shaped, and inverse N-shaped. The paper concludes first that financial development proxied by different indicators may exert varied impacts on carbon emissions. Second, the impact of financial development on carbon emissions shows great heterogeneity among different provinces and different years: it may be curbing or increasing, and even it is curbing, its curbing effects differ greatly across provinces and years. Third, the impact of financial development on CO2 is not always monotonic; instead, it may be nonlinear. Regional segmentation of financial markets may explain the heterogeneity. Some policy suggestions are also given.
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