خيارات البحث
النتائج 11 - 20 من 150
A water angle on Africa’s 2050 food security challenge النص الكامل
2025
Veldwisch, Gert Jan | Denison, Jonathan | Izzi, Gabriella | Kamwamba-mtethiwa, Jean | Komakech, Hans | Mati, Bancy | Waalewijn, Pieter
Irrigated agriculture is an important contributor to African food security, both for farmers directly and for the urban population and wider economy. This chapter argues that the irrigated area in Africa is much larger than generally thought, but still much smaller than it could be. We also explore the concept of irrigation potential and show that it is not a static number, but depends on economic context and people’s abilities to develop irrigation. It is important to also consider that irrigation can be partial or for protection against droughts. The potential of irrigation to contribute to Africa’s food security depends not only on developing water resources, but even more so on an approach that focuses on inclusion and optimization to get the most benefits for most people. The concluding section presents five areas where work can be done radically differently to support a much faster development of water-based agricultural intensification.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]The effect of water scarcity on Iran’s food security النص الكامل
2025
S. Nikpey | B. Rahimibadr | N. Nozari | Shekoofeh Rezaei
Abstract Water scarcity is one of the most urgent food security issues facing countries of arid and semiarid climate like Iran. This study examines the impact of water scarcity on food security in an era of climate change. Using the Iranian Statistics Center (ISC) data on food production, climate change variables, energy consumption, population growth and water use coupled with a simultaneous equations (3SLS) modelling approach, the impacts of water scarcity, are analyzed. The results show that water scarcity in Iran is a regional issue, mainly in eastern and central areas. This is reflected in the limited and uneven distribution of water resources, decline of surface water resources, depletion of groundwater resources, degradation of water quality and increasing water demand. Climate change has further aggravated water scarcity in several river basins in central Iran, resulting in the food security shortage due to fall in food production. The need for more research on improving water-limited crop production is highlighted, and emphasis is placed on interdisciplinary approaches to gain the insight needed to achieve new breakthroughs that would help in tackling this complex problem.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Membership of water user association and implications for food security النص الكامل
2025
Mustapha M. Suraj | Edward Martey | John K.M. Kuwornu | Emmanuel K. Apiors | Francis H. Kemeze | Prince M. Etwire
Agricultural cooperatives are widely regarded as effective institutions for supporting smallholder farmers, reducing poverty, and improving food security. However, empirical evidence varies with mixed findings across different contexts. This study used a primary data of 820 farm households to examine the relationship between membership of water user association (WUA) and food security, using a quasi-experimental research design. The findings show that WUA membership is significantly influenced by factors including age, marital status, access to extension services, participation in supplementary irrigation (SI) and drought index insurance (DII) initiatives, farm size, and an asset aspiration gap. The results further indicate a positive association between WUA participation and household food security. These findings suggest that rural development policies should focus on strengthening existing WUAs and fostering the establishment of new ones through inclusive approaches that address food insecurity.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Robust forecasting of packaging chemical migration into water and food النص الكامل
2025
Changjin Wei | Farag M. A. Altalbawy | Dharmesh Sur | Amar Shankar | Subhashree Ray | Aashna Sinha | Neha Joshi | Farzona Alimova | Krishan Kumar Sah | Ahmad Ewadi | Mehrdad Mottaghi
Chemical migration from food contact materials (FCMs) into food and water poses significant safety concerns. Accurate prediction of this migration is essential for risk assessment and regulatory compliance, yet experimental testing is time-consuming and costly. This research employs a varied array of machine learning (ML) techniques to predict packaging chemical migration, expressed as logKmW. A dataset of 1,847 experimental logKpf values covering 232 materials across 19 packaging compounds was used. Key input variables included material type, temperature (275–313 K), ethanol equivalency (0–100%), and logKow at 298 K. Preprocessing involved z-score normalization, one-hot encoding, and Monte Carlo Outlier Detection (MCOD). Fifteen ML models were tested, including XGBoost, LightGBM, Random Forest, SVR, ANN, and CNN. Correlation analysis showed that logKeq @ 298K (r = 0.63) and silicone rubber (r = 0.59) positively influenced migration, while EtOH-eq (r = –0.68) and temperature (r = –0.26) had negative effects. Among the models, XGBoost performed best with R2 = 0.9957, MSE = 0.0067, and MRD% = 17.29 on the test set. LightGBM and Random Forest also yielded high accuracy. Visualization and SHAP analysis confirmed the dominance of physicochemical variables in predicting migration behavior. The results demonstrate that advanced ML models, especially ensemble tree-based methods, can effectively predict chemical migration into food and water. This work provides a scalable and reliable framework for modeling migration and identifying key influencing variables.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]The role of food categories in shaping socioeconomic impacts on the water footprint of household food waste النص الكامل
2025
Gracia-de-Rentería Pilar | Ferrer-Pérez Hugo
The role of food categories in shaping socioeconomic impacts on the water footprint of household food waste النص الكامل
2025
Gracia-de-Rentería Pilar | Ferrer-Pérez Hugo
Household food waste poses a serious threat to planetary boundaries, particularly regarding water use, since it translates directly into unnecessary consumption of virtual water, contributing to freshwater depletion and threatening water security in water-scarce regions. This study examines how household socioeconomic factors differentially drive the water footprint embedded in food wasted, and how these impacts vary across food categories. To do so, we combine detailed data on food waste quantities of representative Spanish households for the period 2018–2022 with data on unitary water footprint of consumption, in order to calculate the volume of virtual water embedded in food discarded by households. We then employ a pooled regression approach to estimate the socioeconomic characteristics influencing it, analysing differences across food categories and testing how the impact of household characteristics varies by categories. Our results reveal that higher socioeconomic status and larger households significantly increase the water footprint of food waste, while the age of the main shopper and the presence of children are associated with a reduction. Moreover, our findings show that the water footprint of vegetables and other foods categories is more sensitive to socioeconomic status, while the water footprint of meat and dairy categories shows a stronger effect driven by age and household size. These insights offer policymakers valuable guidance for the design of tailored policies for specific groups to reduce the water usage, focusing not only on those products with a higher waste level, but also with a higher water footprint.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]The role of food categories in shaping socioeconomic impacts on the water footprint of household food waste النص الكامل
2025
Gracia de Rentería, María Pilar | Ferrer Pérez, Hugo | Ferrer Pérez, Hugo [0000-0002-5583-3697] | Agencia Estatal de Investigación | Gobierno de Aragón
Household food waste poses a serious threat to planetary boundaries, particularly regarding water use, since it translates directly into unnecessary consumption of virtual water, contributing to freshwater depletion and threatening water security in water-scarce regions. This study examines how household socioeconomic factors differentially drive the water footprint embedded in food wasted, and how these impacts vary across food categories. To do so, we combine detailed data on food waste quantities of representative Spanish households for the period 2018–2022 with data on unitary water footprint of consumption, in order to calculate the volume of virtual water embedded in food discarded by households. We then employ a pooled regression approach to estimate the socioeconomic characteristics influencing it, analysing differences across food categories and testing how the impact of household characteristics varies by categories. Our results reveal that higher socioeconomic status and larger households significantly increase the water footprint of food waste, while the age of the main shopper and the presence of children are associated with a reduction. Moreover, our findings show that the water footprint of vegetables and other foods categories is more sensitive to socioeconomic status, while the water footprint of meat and dairy categories shows a stronger effect driven by age and household size. These insights offer policymakers valuable guidance for the design of tailored policies for specific groups to reduce the water usage, focusing not only on those products with a higher waste level, but also with a higher water footprint. | Este trabajo ha recibido apoyo financiero del proyecto TED2021-132836A-I00, financiado por MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 y por la Unión Europea NextGenerationEU/PRTR, así como del Departamento de Ciencia, Tecnología y Universidades del Gobierno de Aragón y del Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional, con número de subvención S01_23 | Si
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Evaluating Sustainability of Water–Energy–Food–Ecosystems Nexus in Water-Scarce Regions via Coupled Simulation Model النص الكامل
2025
Huanyu Chang | Yong Zhao | Yongqiang Cao | Guohua He | Qingming Wang | Rong Liu | He Ren | Jiaqi Yao | Wei Li
Evaluating Sustainability of Water–Energy–Food–Ecosystems Nexus in Water-Scarce Regions via Coupled Simulation Model النص الكامل
2025
Huanyu Chang | Yong Zhao | Yongqiang Cao | Guohua He | Qingming Wang | Rong Liu | He Ren | Jiaqi Yao | Wei Li
Complex feedback mechanisms and interdependencies exist among the water–energy–food–ecosystems (WEFE) nexus. In water-scarce regions, fluctuations in the supply or demand of any single subsystem can destabilize the others, with water shortages intensifying conflicts among food production, energy consumption, and ecological sustainability. Balancing the synergies and trade-offs within the WEFE system is therefore essential for achieving sustainable development. This study adopts the natural–social water cycle as the core process and develops a coupled simulation model of the WEFE (CSM-WEFE) system, integrating food production, ecological water replenishment, and energy consumption associated with water supply and use. Based on three performance indices—reliability, coupling coordination degree, and equilibrium—a coordinated sustainable development index (CSD) is constructed to quantify the performance of WEFE system under different scenarios. An integrated evaluation framework combining the CSM-WEFE and the CSD index is then proposed to assess the sustainability of WEFE systems. The framework is applied to the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region, a representative water-scarce area in China. Results reveal that the current balance between water supply and socio-economic demand in the BTH region relies heavily on excessive groundwater extraction and the appropriation of ecological water resources. Pursuing food security goals further exacerbates groundwater overexploitation and ecological degradation, thereby undermining system coordination. In contrast, limiting groundwater use improves ecological conditions but increases regional water scarcity and reduces food self-sufficiency. Even with the full operation of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (Middle Route), the region still experiences a 16.4% water shortage. By integrating the CSM-WEFE model with the CSD evaluation approach, the proposed framework not only provides a robust tool for assessing WEFE system sustainability but also offers practical guidance for alleviating water shortages, enhancing food security, and improving ecological health in water-scarce regions.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Evaluating Sustainability of Water–Energy–Food–Ecosystems Nexus in Water-Scarce Regions via Coupled Simulation Model النص الكامل
2025
Huanyu Chang | Yong Zhao | Yongqiang Cao | Guohua He | Qingming Wang | Rong Liu | He Ren | Jiaqi Yao | Wei Li
Complex feedback mechanisms and interdependencies exist among the water&ndash:energy&ndash:food&ndash:ecosystems (WEFE) nexus. In water-scarce regions, fluctuations in the supply or demand of any single subsystem can destabilize the others, with water shortages intensifying conflicts among food production, energy consumption, and ecological sustainability. Balancing the synergies and trade-offs within the WEFE system is therefore essential for achieving sustainable development. This study adopts the natural&ndash:social water cycle as the core process and develops a coupled simulation model of the WEFE (CSM-WEFE) system, integrating food production, ecological water replenishment, and energy consumption associated with water supply and use. Based on three performance indices&mdash:reliability, coupling coordination degree, and equilibrium&mdash:a coordinated sustainable development index (CSD) is constructed to quantify the performance of WEFE system under different scenarios. An integrated evaluation framework combining the CSM-WEFE and the CSD index is then proposed to assess the sustainability of WEFE systems. The framework is applied to the Beijing&ndash:Tianjin&ndash:Hebei (BTH) region, a representative water-scarce area in China. Results reveal that the current balance between water supply and socio-economic demand in the BTH region relies heavily on excessive groundwater extraction and the appropriation of ecological water resources. Pursuing food security goals further exacerbates groundwater overexploitation and ecological degradation, thereby undermining system coordination. In contrast, limiting groundwater use improves ecological conditions but increases regional water scarcity and reduces food self-sufficiency. Even with the full operation of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (Middle Route), the region still experiences a 16.4% water shortage. By integrating the CSM-WEFE model with the CSD evaluation approach, the proposed framework not only provides a robust tool for assessing WEFE system sustainability but also offers practical guidance for alleviating water shortages, enhancing food security, and improving ecological health in water-scarce regions.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Water, Health, Food: Network models and system mapping to integrate sectors
2025
Thomas, Sirimon
Presented at the Jameel Observatory Community of Practice meeting and drylands food security and resilience early action research and evidence dialogue, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 13-16 May 2025
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]Multidimensional and multiscale evaluation framework considering Water–Energy–Food–Ecosystem Nexus النص الكامل
2025
Kyrgiakos, Leonidas Sotirios | Tosiliani, Dimitra Despoina | Angelopoulos, Vasileios | Bonomelli, Veronica | Kleftodimos, Georgios | Vasileiou, Marios | Kleisiari, Christina | Oikonomou, Asimina | Prosperi, Paolo | Belhouchette, Hatem | Vlontzos, George | University of Thessaly [Volos] (UTH) | Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Institut Agronomique Méditerranéen de Montpellier (CIHEAM-IAMM) ; Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM) | Montpellier Interdisciplinary center on Sustainable Agri-food systems (Social and nutritional sciences) (UMR MoISA) ; Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Institut Agronomique Méditerranéen de Montpellier (CIHEAM-IAMM) ; Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)-Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro Montpellier ; Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro) | Agrosystèmes Biodiversifiés (UMR ABSys) ; Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Institut Agronomique Méditerranéen de Montpellier (CIHEAM-IAMM) ; Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)-Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro Montpellier ; Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro) | Laboratoire d’Accueil Méditerranéen en Economie et Sciences sociales (LAMES) ; Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Méditerranéennes - Institut Agronomique Méditerranéen de Montpellier (CIHEAM-IAMM) ; Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)-Centre International de Hautes Études Agronomiques Méditerranéennes (CIHEAM)
International audience | The agricultural sector in the Mediterranean Basin is the largest consumer of water, using 70% of freshwater resources for crop irrigation, which accounts for 85% of the region's agricultural output. With climate change and population growth expected to reduce water availability, energy management also poses a significant challenge, as 7% of commercial energy is used for freshwater supply. The DIONYSUS project aims to develop practical adaptation solutions for efficient resource use through innovative business models, focusing on four demonstration sites in Egypt, Greece, Morocco, and Italy. It seeks to promote a transition to a Green Economy by engaging stakeholders and utilizing a Cross-Sectoral Nexus adaptation tool.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]The Impact of Food Import Competition Effects on Water–Land–Food System Coordination: A Perspective from Land Use Efficiency for Food Production in China النص الكامل
2025
Ziqiang Li | Weijiao Ye | Ciwen Zheng
The Impact of Food Import Competition Effects on Water–Land–Food System Coordination: A Perspective from Land Use Efficiency for Food Production in China النص الكامل
2025
Ziqiang Li | Weijiao Ye | Ciwen Zheng
The exchange of food commodities significantly contributes to alleviating the strain on land used for agricultural production by linking areas rich in land with those facing resource limitations. This study employs the entropy weight–TOPSIS method to measure the water–land–food system, utilizes a two-way fixed-effects model to examine the impact of food import competition on the coordination of the water–land–food system, and applies a spatial Durbin model to explore the spatial spillover effects of this impact. The findings indicate the following: (1) The average coordination level of the WLF system in China stands at 0.317, showing considerable variability. The WLF system coordination in all regions of China initially decreased and then increased in the period studied, with the northeast region exhibiting the highest level of coordination. (2) The competitive effect of domestic and foreign food costs driven by food imports has a positive impact on the coordination of the WLF system. For every 100,000 hectares of land saved through the competition effect, the coordination of China’s WLF system increases by 0.002. However, once the saved land exceeds 1.5 million hectares, the impact of import competition on the importing country’s food market becomes excessive and starts to have a negative effect. (3) Split-sample regression revealed that the positive effect of food import competition on the coordination of the WLF system is stronger in the southern region compared to the northern region. Additionally, the increase in the competition effect has a more pronounced impact on the coordination of the WLF system in major food production areas than in non-major production areas. (4) Based on the results of the spatial econometric model, the increase in the competitive effect of food imports in a region not only increases the coordination of the WLF system within that region but also positively impacts the coordination of the system in neighboring regions. (5) The land use efficiency of food imports acts as a conduit for the impact of food import competition on the coordination of the WLF system.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]The Impact of Food Import Competition Effects on Water–Land–Food System Coordination: A Perspective from Land Use Efficiency for Food Production in China النص الكامل
2025
Ziqiang Li | Weijiao Ye | Ciwen Zheng
The exchange of food commodities significantly contributes to alleviating the strain on land used for agricultural production by linking areas rich in land with those facing resource limitations. This study employs the entropy weight&ndash:TOPSIS method to measure the water&ndash:land&ndash:food system, utilizes a two-way fixed-effects model to examine the impact of food import competition on the coordination of the water&ndash:land&ndash:food system, and applies a spatial Durbin model to explore the spatial spillover effects of this impact. The findings indicate the following: (1) The average coordination level of the WLF system in China stands at 0.317, showing considerable variability. The WLF system coordination in all regions of China initially decreased and then increased in the period studied, with the northeast region exhibiting the highest level of coordination. (2) The competitive effect of domestic and foreign food costs driven by food imports has a positive impact on the coordination of the WLF system. For every 100,000 hectares of land saved through the competition effect, the coordination of China&rsquo:s WLF system increases by 0.002. However, once the saved land exceeds 1.5 million hectares, the impact of import competition on the importing country&rsquo:s food market becomes excessive and starts to have a negative effect. (3) Split-sample regression revealed that the positive effect of food import competition on the coordination of the WLF system is stronger in the southern region compared to the northern region. Additionally, the increase in the competition effect has a more pronounced impact on the coordination of the WLF system in major food production areas than in non-major production areas. (4) Based on the results of the spatial econometric model, the increase in the competitive effect of food imports in a region not only increases the coordination of the WLF system within that region but also positively impacts the coordination of the system in neighboring regions. (5) The land use efficiency of food imports acts as a conduit for the impact of food import competition on the coordination of the WLF system.
اظهر المزيد [+] اقل [-]