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Surgelas, V., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava (Latvia) | Arhipova, I., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava (Latvia) | Pukite, V.., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava (Latvia)

The construction sector is linked to the general development of a country. There is a lot of data scattered and not properly explored in relation to the buildings constructed. However, if these scattered data on the behaviour of the real estate market are organized, combined with knowledge of civil engineering, this merger of information can mitigate some evaluation problems, especially those that are overvalued for unknown or dubious reasons. Thus, there is a need for models capable of working with limited data to analyse the causal relationships between explanatory variables and sales prices and, from there, predict property values. The purpose of this article is the innovative use of simple building inspection strategies to predict the market price for residential apartments. For this, 19 samples of residential apartments are used in the city of Niterói, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in February 2021. The methodology uses the results of the survey of civil engineering and converts them into heuristic terms predicting the price of the property. With this, the imprecision, uncertainty, and subjectivity of human expression combined with the knowledge of civil engineering result in a plausible solution and easy application in the market. Finally, the use of fuzzy logic in the evaluation of properties is an adequate unconventional method, in addition to avoiding repetition in regression coefficients in binary logic. To check the reliability of the method, the comparison between the market values of the samples and the values predicted by the fuzzy logic is used. The result according to the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) can be interpreted as a good result (7%).

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