Thawing permafrost is subsiding in the Northern Hemisphere—review and perspectives
2025
Dmitry A Streletskiy | Alexey Maslakov | Guido Grosse | Nikolay I Shiklomanov | Louise Farquharson | Simon Zwieback | Go Iwahana | Annett Bartsch | Lin Liu | Tazio Strozzi | Hanna Lee | Matvey V Debolskiy
High-latitude and altitude cold regions are affected by climate warming and permafrost degradation. One of the major concerns associated with degrading permafrost is thaw subsidence (TS) due to melting of excess ground ice and associated thaw consolidation. Field observations, remote sensing, and numerical modeling are used to measure and estimate the extent and rates of TS across broad spatial and temporal scales. Our new data synthesis effort from diverse permafrost regions of North America and Eurasia, confirms widespread TS across the panarctic permafrost domain with rates of up to 2 cm yr ^−1 in the areas with low ice content and more than 3 cm yr ^−1 in regions with ice-rich permafrost. Areas with human activities or areas affected by wildfires exhibited higher subsidence rates. Our findings suggest that permafrost landscapes are undergoing geomorphic change that is impacting hydrology, ecosystems, and human infrastructure. The development of a systematic TS monitoring is urgently needed to deliver consistent and continuous exchange of data across different permafrost regions. Integration of coordinated field observations, remote sensing, and modeling of TS across a range of scales would contribute to better understanding of rapidly changing permafrost environments and resulting climate feedbacks.
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