Impact of Policy Scenarios in Irrigated Agriculture of River Guadalquivir Basin (Southern Spain)
2005
Vecino, Julio Berbel | Lopez, Maria Jos | Gutierrez, Carlos
This paper integrates indicators of environmental, social and economic impact of a range of policy scenarios through the use of Multicriteria and Multiperiod Programming. The case study is irrigated agriculture in the basin of the River Guadalquivir, and the policy scenarios combined Common Agricultural Policy and Water Framework Directive implementation in the period 2001-2010. The model is applied to a representative number of farming systems that attempt to offer a satisfactory description of the productive diversity of the basin. Results indicate that there are significant differences in the impact in the three dimensions (environmental, social and economic), according to the possible evolution of policy, market and technical futures. We believe that the integration of indicators into multicriteria models is a powerful system for building policy support tools for sounder decision making in the implementation of a future normative which will affect agricultural production in Europe, and that these tools can be used to deal with new questions that face agriculture (genetically modified organisms, new CAP, etc.)
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