An analytical Study of Sheep Breeders' Response to Price and Production Risks and their Impact on the Production of Meat and Milk in Al- Sweida'a Governorate
2023
Manar Mouhamad Abo rafeh
The study aimed to analyze the response of sheep breeders to price and productivity risks, and their impact on meat and milk production in Al-Suwayda Governorate. The research was carried out in some villages belonging to the administrative regions taken by the random sampling method, which numbered 48 villages, and 331 educators were selected by the random sampling method from the aforementioned villages. The objectives of the research were achieved based on the application of the progressive multiple linear regression model to determine the effect of a group of independent factors on the two dependent variables (meat production and milk production), also the application of the Nerlove mathematical model to determine the effect of a group of independent factors on the two dependent variables (the price of meat and the price of milk), and the application of the Karette technique to determine the ranks of the sources of production and price risks according to their priorities, and the methods of controlling or reducing risks. The results of the analysis showed that one of the most important factors with a significant impact on increasing the production of meat is the experience of the breeder in raising sheep, and on increasing milk production is the amount of feed consumed at a significant level of 1%, and the results of the analysis of the study sample showed that from The most important factors with a positive moral impact on the price of sheep meat are the price of goat meat, and on the price of sheep's milk is the price of goat's milk at a significant level 1%. The lack of natural pastures occupied the first rank among the productive risks with a score of 73.41, The rise in fodder prices occupied the first rank among the price risks with a score of 74.27. The research reached a set of recommendations, As to securing the requirements of sheep breeding, at the appropriate times, and at reasonable prices, in order to prevent breeders from resorting to selling their sheep. and provide information related to markets and all milk prices, in anticipation The exposure of breeders to market and price risks.
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This bibliographic record has been provided by National Centre for Agro. Inform. and Documentation, Ministry of Agriculture and Agrarian Reform