Real Time Operational Optimization of a Seawater Desalination System Based on Rolling Prediction of Hourly Freshwater Demand
2018
Zhang, Quannan | Jiang, Aipeng | Gong, Minliang | Wang, Haokun | Wang, Jian | Jiangzhou, Shu
Because the optimal operation trajectory obtained under a fixed freshwater demand and known operational conditions could not achieve cost savings when these parameters change uncertainly over time, in this paper, a real time operational optimization method based on rolling prediction of hourly freshwater demand is proposed. First, via analysis of the historical data of hourly water consumption in a seawater desalination system, a new method for predicting the daily water demand in the next 24 h is proposed, and the predicted trajectory is continuously corrected and updated with present freshwater consumption. Then, with the well-established seawater desalination system model combined with the dynamics of a storage tank, a real time optimal operational problem with the strategy for its solution is given to minimize the daily operational cost. The optimization problem with differential and algebraic equations is discretized into a nonlinear programming problem by finite element collocation, and then a rolling optimization solution strategy based on simulation is used. Finally, a case study is used to verify the proposed method. The results show that the proposed optimal operation method can achieve significant cost savings and can also overcome the water level violation problem under a fixed freshwater demand or via the conventional method.
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