Food shortage simulations: An application of the food accounting matrix with proportionality assumptions [Africa South of Sahara].
1982
Freeman Roger | Hay Roger
Extract: Crop forecasts are beginning to produce useful results in Sub-Saharan Africa. If from these it were possible to produce estimates of the likely changes in commodity flows to different population groups, the effects of short run fluctuations in food supply could be anticipated. This paper demonstrates how this might be done using a Food Accounting Matrix (FAM) as a data base. The 4 simulations demonstrated are based on proportional change. The limitations of proportionality assumptions are discussed. (author/emc).
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