If 'rice is our life', how come we depend on others to sustain it? Philippine rice production, productivity, population, per capita rice availability and poverty incidence: a provincial-level analysis
2012
Castillo, G.T. | Moya, P.F. | Padolina, W.G., International Rice Research Inst., DAPO Box 7777, Metro Manila (Philippines). Social Science Div.
To improve geographic targeting of rice production programs, particularly with the avowed goal of Provincial-level Rice-Self sufficiency, this report analyzed rice production data, province by province over the past 10 years, 2000-2009. Instead of the usual per capita rice consumption figure which proved to be 20 'elusive' as to how it was arrived at, the report used the 2007 population and rice production data to estimate per capita rice availability at the provincial level. To put this estimate in the context of poverty, the 2007 poverty incidence data were used to classify provinces with respect to these two parameters of population and per capita rice availability. The main message of this analysis is that provincial rice self-sufficiency depends not only on natural resource endowments, production, productivity and harvest area but also on population size. In the national rice scenario, rice self sufficiency depends not only on the above factors but also on urbanization and the ability of rice-producing provinces to produce enough surplus to cover the deficits of marginal and low-rice producing provinces but most of all to meet the basic rice requirements of zero rice producing cities and urban centers. This is a tall order indeed!
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