Forecasting citrus exports in Pakistan
Tahir, A. (National Agricultural Research Centre, Islamabad (Pakistan). Planning and Research Monitoring Cell)
The present study was planned to check the trend analysis of export quantity and export value for citrus in Pakistan. The findings of the study are based on citrus export quantity and export value data during the years (1990 to 2011). Two models of trend analysis were applied but most appropriate model for trend analysis of the present study was quadratic trend model. Forecasting was also done up to 2016.The forecasted export quantities are 1643.13, 1854.03, 2077.80, 2314.46 and 2564.00 tones and forecasted export values are 673.67, 782.34, 898.57, 1022.35 and 1153.68 thousand dollars. Forecast values are very close to actual values and have positive increasing trend in Pakistan.
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