Влияние объёмов лесопользования на углеродный баланс лесов России: прогнозный анализ по модели CBM-CFS3
2014
Zamolodchikov D.G. | Grabowsky V.I. | Kurz W.A.
A projection of the carbon balance of Russian forests up to 2050 is produced using the Canadian model CBM-CFS3 with description of the starting period using Russian inventory and activity data. The model estimates of the carbon sink in the starting period was close to 270 Mt C/yr. If current rates of forest harvest and fire disturbances will not change in the future, the carbon sink will decrease to 100 Mt C/yr in 2050 due to the increasing average age of forest stands. An increase of forest harvest within allowable cuts limits will lead to a more rapid decrease of the carbon sink. To sustain the carbon sink in Russian forests requires a set of targeted large-scales activities, including increase of forest fire protection, improvement of cutting technologies, and modification of approaches to artificial reforestation
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