Analiza i predviđanje proizvodnih parametara kupusa u Srbiji / Analysis and prediction of production parameters of cabbage in Serbia
2016
Mutavdžić, Beba (Poljoprivredni fakultet, Novi Sad (Srbija)) | Novković, Nebojša (Poljoprivredni fakultet, Novi Sad (Srbija))
The paper deals with the analysis of production parameters of cabbage in the period from 1980 to 2014. godine. In this period cabbage is grown on an average of more than 20,000 hectares. Serbia occupies an important place in the areas under the cabbage in Europe where the surface is relatively stable, which shows the value of the coefficient of variation (Cv = 6.2%) and the rate of change (r = 0.09). Average annual production of cabbage at the level of about 300,000 tons, and the average yield of 14.4 t/ha. The aim of this paper is to predict trends in the production of cabbage in the period from 2015-20. For prediction the ARIMA models are used. Results show that area under the cabbage will be reduced for 1,000 hectares. what will be reflected in the decrease in production, despite the yield tends to increase.
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