Climate change, agriculture, and potential crop yields in Central Asia
2022
Thomas, Timothy S. | Akramov, Kamiljon T. | Robertson, Richard D. | Nazareth, Vijay | Ilyasov, Jarilkasin | http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7951-8157 Thomas, Tim | http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4357-0508 Akramov, K. | http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5741-3867 Robertson, Richard
English. CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM)
Show more [+] Less [-]English. Agriculture in Central Asia is vulnerable to climate change due to rising aridity, declining availability of water resources for irrigation, and low adaptive capacity. We use climate data from CMIP5 with RCP8.5 for greenhouse gas emissions and the DSSAT crop model to investigate how yields of key crops in Central Asia will be affected by climate change. We distinguish changes in yields between spring and winter plantings, between irrigated and rainfed crops, and between crops grown with high and low amounts of fertilizer. The results suggest that countries (and areas within countries) that either have moderate summers or grow a number of crops in a relatively cold winter will benefit from climate change, while countries that grow many of the crops in the summer will experience losses.
Show more [+] Less [-]Non-PR
Show more [+] Less [-]English. IFPRI1; Capacity Strengthening; CRP2; 1 Fostering Climate-Resilient and Sustainable Food Supply; 4 Transforming Agricultural and Rural Economies; DCA
Show more [+] Less [-]DSGD; EPTD; PIM
Show more [+] Less [-]AGROVOC Keywords
Bibliographic information
This bibliographic record has been provided by International Food Policy Research Institute