Climate change vs. socio-economic development : understanding the future South Asian water gap
2018
The study assesses combined impacts of climate change and socio-economic development on the future water gap in the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra (IGB) river basins until the end of the 21st century. The IGB provides about 900 million people with water resources used for agricultural, domestic, and industrial purposes. Environmental flow requirements (EFRs) have not been considered in most future assessments on climate change induced or socio-economic development-induced changes in water supply and demand in the region. The paper proposes a model simulation incorporating factors of the hydrological cycle.
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