Synergetic optimization management of crop-biomass coproduction with food-energy-water nexus under uncertainties
2020
Ji, Ling | Zheng, Zixuan | Wu, Tianhao | Xie, Yulei | Liu, Zhengping | Huang, Guohe | Niu, Dongxiao
Synergic management of the local crop-biomass coproduction system is the potential to increase resource efficiency and promote sustainable development. In this paper, an interval fuzzy linear fractional programming (IFLFP) model is developed for planning regional food production with the consideration of ecological protection, water resource conservation, biomass energy supply, and food-energy-water (FEW) nexus. The main advantages of the proposed IFLFP model are the abilities to reflect uncertainties with different characters as interval values and fuzzy sets and to provide system efficiency measurement by the ratio form of conflict objective functions. The IFLFP model is then tailored for the application of the crop-biomass coproduction management with FEW nexus in Jiangsu Province, China. The influences of different optimization goals (i.e. economic benefits and environmental benefits per unit irrigation water consumption) and multiple water resource scenarios under climate change are examined and discussed to provide more managerial insights. The results reveal that wheat, barley, and tuber crops would be more easily affected by water resource availability and optimization goals. Besides, recycle water would be considered as an important source for irrigation under scare water scenario, and gain the priority for the economic purpose. The results also imply that it is impossible to realize “double-win” of environmental and economic goals simultaneously, and decision makers should make compromises among different strategies.
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