An automated two-step NDVI-based method for the production of low-cost historical burned area map records over large areas

The recognition and understanding of long-term fire-related processes and patterns, such as the possible connection between the increased frequency of wildfires and global warming, requires the study of historical data records. In this study, a methodology was proposed for the automated production of long historical burned area map records over large-scale regions. The methodology was based on remotely sensed, high temporal resolution, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data that could be easily acquired at medium or low spatial resolution. The proposed methodology was used to map the burned areas of the wildfires that occurred over the Peloponnese peninsula, Greece, during the summer of 2007. The method was built upon the NDVI data collected by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Système Pour l’Observation de la Terre (SPOT)-VEGETATION. The higher spatial resolution data of MODIS resulted in higher burned area user accuracy (91.10%) and kappa (0.85) values than the respective ones for VEGETATION (79.29% and 0.77). The majority of classification errors were located along the perimeter of the burned areas and were mainly attributed to spatial resolution limitations of the remotely sensed data. The commission errors located away from the fire perimeter were primarily attributed to topographically shaded areas and land-cover types spectrally similar to burned areas. The omission errors resulted primarily from the small size and elongated shape of remote burned areas. Owing to their geometry, they have a high proportion of mixed pixels, whose spectral properties failed to meet the strict set of criteria for core fire pixels. The benefits of the proposed methodology are maximized when applied to data of the highest available spatial resolution, such as those collected by MODIS and the Project for On-Board Autonomy – Vegetation (PROBA-V) and when land-cover types spectrally similar to burned areas are masked prior to its application.