Understanding of Aerosol–Climate Interactions in China: Aerosol Impacts on Solar Radiation, Temperature, Cloud, and Precipitation and Its Changes Under Future Climate and Emission Scenarios

Fast growth of air pollution was experienced in China during the past decades, resulting in extremely large aerosol radiative forcing with up to ten times high compared to the global averages. The responses of surface air temperature to aerosol radiative effects range from − 0.1 to 1.1 K across China, with strong spatial and seasonal variations. Aerosol interaction with clouds can also affect radiation and precipitation. Under high pollution conditions, the frequency of heavy rain increases while the frequency of light rain decreases. Aerosols share common emission sources with CO₂, implying that reducing common sources can be another manifestation of the interaction between aerosol and climate. Air pollution controls will contribute to the climate change mitigation by reducing CO₂ emissions stemming from controls of pollution sources. On the other hand, potential co-benefits in reducing air pollution also come from the mitigation of climate change by reducing CO₂ emission that potentially affects the aerosol concentrations. It is suggested that the PM₂.₅ (fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 μm or less) concentration tends to decrease under future climate control scenarios. Such co-benefits are mostly associated with the reduction of common sources of CO₂ and aerosol (noted as emission-driven interaction), rather than the variation of meteorological conditions associated with future climate change (noted as meteorology-driven interaction). Compared to emission-driven interaction, the impact by meteorology-driven interaction on aerosols is relatively smaller and varies geographically as the PM₂.₅ concentration is likely to increase in northern China while decrease in eastern China. The current review suggested that the co-benefits of reducing CO₂ and aerosol pollutant in China, and their response in the context of future climate change, are worthy of further research.