Sensitivity analysis for models of greenhouse gas emissions at farm level. Case study of N2O emissions simulated by the CERES-EGC model
2011
Drouet, Jean-Louis | Capian, Nicolas, N. | Fiorelli, Jean-Louis, J.-L. | Blanfort, Vincent, V. | Capitaine, Mathieu | Duretz, Sylvia, S. | Gabrielle, Benoit | Martin, Raphaël | Lardy, Romain | Cellier, Pierre, P. | Soussana, Jean-François, J.-F. | Environnement et Grandes Cultures (EGC) ; Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AgroParisTech | Agro-Systèmes Territoires Ressources Mirecourt (ASTER Mirecourt) ; Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA) | Unité de recherche sur l'Ecosystème Prairial (UREP) ; Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA) | Agronomie et Fertilité Organique des Sols ; VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS)
no sp Assessment of Nitrogen Fluxes to Air and Water from Site Scale to Continental Scale
Show more [+] Less [-]English. Modelling complex systems such as farms often requires quantification of a large number of input factors. Sensitivity analyses are useful to reduce the number of input factors that are required to be measured or estimated accurately. Three methods of sensitivity analyses (The Morris method, the rank regression and correlation method and the Extended Fourrier Amplitude Sensitivity Test method) were compared in the case of the CERES-EGC model applied to crops of a dairy farm. The qualitative Morris method provided a screening of the input factors. The two other quantitative methods were used to investigate more thoroughly the effects of input factors. The two other quantitative methods were used to investigate more thoroughly the effectos on input factors on output variables.Despite differences in terms of concepts and assumptions, the three methods provided similar results. Among the 44 factors under study, N2O emissions were mainly sensitive to the fraction of N2O emitted during denitrification, the maximum rate of nitrification, the soil bulk density and the cropland area.
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