Carbon and Greenhouse Gas Budgets of Europe: Trends, Interannual and Spatial Variability, and Their Drivers
2024
Lauerwald, Ronny | Bastos, Ana | Mcgrath, Matthew, J | Petrescu, Ana, Maria Roxana | Ritter, François | Andrew, Robbie, M | Berchet, Antoine | Broquet, Grégoire | Brunner, Dominik | Chevallier, Frédéric | Cescatti, Alessandro | Filipek, Sara | Fortems‐cheiney, Audrey | Forzieri, Giovanni | Friedlingstein, Pierre | Fuchs, Richard | Gerbig, Christoph | Houweling, Sander | Ke, Piyu | Lerink, Bas Jan Willem | Li, Wanjing | Li, Wei | Li, Xiaojun | Luijkx, Ingrid | Monteil, Guillaume | Munassar, Saqr | Nabuurs, Gert‐jan | Patra, Prabir, K | Peylin, Philippe | Pongratz, Julia | Regnier, Pierre | Saunois, Marielle | Schelhaas, Mart‐jan | Scholze, Marko | Sitch, Stephen | Thompson, Rona, L | Tian, Hanqin | Tsuruta, Aki | Wilson, Chris | Wigneron, Jean‐pierre | Yao, Yitong | Zaehle, Sönke | Ciais, Philippe | Université Paris-Saclay | Ecologie fonctionnelle et écotoxicologie des agroécosystèmes (ECOSYS) ; AgroParisTech-Université Paris-Saclay-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) | Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (MPI-BGC) ; Max-Planck-Gesellschaft | Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE) ; Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) ; Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) | Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam [Amsterdam] (VU) | Modélisation INVerse pour les mesures atmosphériques et SATellitaires (SATINV) ; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE) ; Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) ; Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) ; Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) | Interactions Sol Plante Atmosphère (UMR ISPA) ; Ecole Nationale Supérieure des Sciences Agronomiques de Bordeaux-Aquitaine (Bordeaux Sciences Agro)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) | Modélisation des Surfaces et Interfaces Continentales (MOSAIC) ; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE) ; Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) ; Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) (DRF (CEA)) ; Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)
International audience
Show more [+] Less [-]English. In the framework of the RECCAP2 initiative, we present the greenhouse gas (GHG) and carbon (C) budget of Europe. For the decade of the 2010s, we present a bottom-up (BU) estimate of GHG netemissions of 3.9 Pg CO 2 -eq. yr 1 (using a global warming potential on a 100 years horizon), which are largely dominated by fossil fuel emissions. In this decade, terrestrial ecosystems acted as a net GHG sink of 0.9 Pg CO 2 -eq. yr 1 , dominated by a CO 2 sink that was partially counterbalanced by net emissions of CH 4 and N 2 O. For CH 4 and N 2 O, we find good agreement between BU and top-down (TD) estimates from atmospheric inversions. However, our BU land CO 2 sink is significantly higher than the TD estimates. We further show that decadal averages of GHG net-emissions have declined by 1.2 Pg CO 2 -eq. yr 1 since the 1990s, mainly due to a reduction in fossil fuel emissions. In addition, based on both data driven BU and TD estimates, we also find that the land CO 2 sink has weakened over the past two decades. A large part of the European CO 2 and C sinks is located in Northern Europe. At the same time, we find a decreasing trend in sink strength in Scandinavia, which can be attributed to an increase in forest management intensity. These are partly offset by increasing CO 2 sinks in parts of Eastern Europe and Northern Spain, attributed in part to land use change. Extensive regions of high CH 4 and N 2 O emissions are mainly attributed to agricultural activities and are found in Belgium, the Netherlands and the southern UK. We further analyzed interannual variability in the GHG budgets. The drought year of 2003 shows the highest net-emissions of CO 2 and of all GHGs combined.
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