Optimizing fertilization schemes to narrow the maize yield gap in smallholder farming systems in southern Ethiopia

Maize (Zea mays L.) is an important food crop in Ethiopia, but productivity is low mainly due to low soil fertility and suboptimal fertilization. Therefore, this study aims to determine the yield, nutrient use efficiency and economic feasibility of maize production under various fertilizer applications and test the suitability of the Quantitative Evaluation of the Fertility in Tropical Soils (QUEFTS) model for predicting maize yield response to fertilization in Sidama region, southern Ethiopia. On-farm experiments were conducted at six sites (Site 1–6) of Sidama region, southern Ethiopia during the 2019 growing season. The experiments were laid out in a randomized complete block design (RCBD) with three replications. The experiment was a nutrient omission trial with seven treatments: control, two full NPK treatments and four nutrient omission treatments with contrasting N and P rates. Omitting N resulted in 5–28 % yield loss and omitting P resulted in 4–44 % yield loss compared to the lower rate of full NPK treatment across all study sites. Whereas omitting K resulted in 21 % yield loss only at sites 2 and 3. An increase in maize yield was mainly associated with an increase in both nutrient uptake and nutrient use efficiency of NPK. The results showed the need to revise blanket recommendations since the highest mean grain yields and net economic returns with acceptable marginal rates of return were obtained with NPK application or higher levels of NP (N2P2 treatment). In addition, the present QUEFTS model validation study revealed the good fit between QUEFTS model predicted maize grain yields (6.3 t ha−1) to the average actual yields (7.4 t ha−1) and this was also confirmed by small average values of RMSE = 1.5 t ha−1 and PBIAS = 6.9 %. Thus, the model can be a promising option for development of site specific fertilizer recommendations under smallholder farming systems in the region.