Investigation the factors influencing on demand for lumber imports in Iran
2012
Amir Mollahasani | Azhang Tajdini | Mehran Rouhnia
Due to limited forest resources in Iran, imports of round woods and sawn lumber are the inevitable solution to satisfy the growing needs of wooden industries, therefore, in this research we have investigated the most important effective variables on demand for imports of lumber in Iran, by reviewing trends in imports of lumber based on single-equation regression model and using the time series data of 1984 - 2009 and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approach. The functional form of the applied equation is in the form of log-log linear regression. The results indicated that in the estimated demand for imports function, intercept, gross domestic product and export petroleum incomes variables have positive impact and exchange rate, the domestic production quantity of studied product have adverse impact on demand for imports of lumber. The significant negative impact of fluctuations in exchange rates of currencies against the Rial in the recent months is major obstacles on development of forest products industries in Iran. Also, import quantity of lumber with the first lagged isn’t significant at 5%level and therefore isn’t a variable affecting the demand for lumber imports. This is due to the unique role of imported lumber to meat demands of various cellulosic industries in Iran.
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