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Fusion of land use regression modeling output and wireless distributed sensor network measurements into a high spatiotemporally-resolved NO2 product
2021
Shafran-Nathan, Rakefet | Etzion, Yael | Broday, David M.
Land use regression modeling is a common method for assessing exposure to ambient pollutants, yet it suffers from very coarse temporal resolution. Wireless distributed sensor networks (WDSN) is a promising technology that can provide extremely high spatiotemporal pollutant patterns but is known to suffer from several limitations that put into question its data reliability. This study examines the advantages of fusing data from these two methods and obtaining high spatiotemporally-resolved product that can be used for exposure assessment. We demonstrate this approach by estimating nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentrations at a sub-urban scale, with the study area limited by the deployment of the WDSN nodes. Specifically, hourly-resolved fused-data estimates were obtained by combining a stationary traffic-based land use regression (LUR) model with observations (15 min sampling frequency) made by an array of low-cost sensor nodes, with the sensors’ readings mapped over the whole study area. Data fusion was performed by merging the two independent information products using a fuzzy logic approach. The performance of the fused product was examined against reference hourly observations at four air quality monitoring (AQM) stations situated within the study area, with the AQM data not used for the development of any of the underlying information layers. The mean hourly RMSE between the fused data product and the AQM records was 9.3 ppb, smaller than the RMSE of the two base products independently (LUR: 14.87 ppb, WDSN: 10.45 ppb). The normalized Moran’s I of the fused product indicates that the data-fusion product reveals more realistic spatial patterns than those of the base products. The fused NO₂ concentration product shows considerable spatial variability relative to that evident by interpolation of both the WDSN records and the AQM stations data, with significant non-random patterns in 74% of the study period.
Show more [+] Less [-]Mapping high resolution national daily NO2 exposure across mainland China using an ensemble algorithm
2021
Liu, Jianjun
Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) is an important air pollutant and highly related to air quality, short- and long-term health effects, and even climate. A national model was developed using the extreme gradient boosting algorithm with high-resolution tropospheric vertical column NO₂ densities from the Sentinel-5 Precursor/Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument and general meteorological variables as input to generate daily mean surface NO₂ concentrations across mainland China. Model-derived daily NO₂ estimates were high accuracy with sample-based cross-validation coefficient of determination of 0.83, a root-mean-square error of 7.58 μg/m³, a mean prediction error of 5.56 μg/m³, and a mean relative prediction error of 18.08%. It has good performance in NO₂ estimations at both regional and individual site scale. The model also performed well in terms of estimating monthly, seasonal, and annual mean NO₂ concentrations across China. The model performance appears to better than or comparable to most previous related studies. The seasonal and annual spatial distributions of surface NO₂ across China and several regional NO₂ hotspots in 2019 were derived from the model and analyzed. Also evaluated were the population exposure levels of NO₂ for cities in and provinces of China. At the national scale, about 12% of the population experienced annual mean NO₂ concentrations exceeding the Chinese national air quality standard. The nationwide model with conventional predictors developed here can derive high-resolution surface NO₂ concentrations across China routinely, benefitting air epidemiological and environmental related studies.
Show more [+] Less [-]Spatiotemporal mapping and assessment of daily ground NO2 concentrations in China using high-resolution TROPOMI retrievals
2021
Wu, Sensen | Huang, Bo | Wang, Jionghua | He, Lijie | Wang, Zhongyi | Yan, Zhen | Lao, Xiangqian | Zhang, Feng | Liu, Renyi | Du, Zhenhong
Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) is an important air pollutant that causes direct harms to the environment and human health. Ground NO₂ mapping with high spatiotemporal resolution is critical for fine-scale air pollution and environmental health research. We thus developed a spatiotemporal regression kriging model to map daily high-resolution (3-km) ground NO₂ concentrations in China using the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) satellite retrievals and geographical covariates. This model combined geographically and temporally weighted regression with spatiotemporal kriging and achieved robust prediction performance with sample-based and site-based cross-validation R² values of 0.84 and 0.79. The annual mean and standard deviation of ground NO₂ concentrations from June 1, 2018 to May 31, 2019 were predicted to be 15.05 ± 7.82 μg/m³, with that in 0.6% of China’s area (10% of the population) exceeding the annual air quality standard (40 μg/m³). The ground NO₂ concentrations during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) period (January and February in 2020) was 14% lower than that during the same period in 2019 and the mean population exposure to ground NO₂ was reduced by 25%. This study was the first to use TROPOMI retrievals to map fine-scale daily ground NO₂ concentrations across all of China. This was also an early application to use the satellite-estimated ground NO₂ data to quantify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the air pollution and population exposures. These newly satellite-derived ground NO₂ data with high spatiotemporal resolution have value in advancing environmental and health research in China.
Show more [+] Less [-]Air quality and health impact of 2019–20 Black Summer megafires and COVID-19 lockdown in Melbourne and Sydney, Australia
2021
Ryan, Robert G. | Silver, Jeremy D. | Schofield, Robyn
Poor air quality is an emerging problem in Australia primarily due to ozone pollution events and lengthening and more severe wildfire seasons. A significant deterioration in air quality was experienced in Australia’s most populous cities, Melbourne and Sydney, as a result of fires during the so-called Black Summer which ran from November 2019 through to February 2020. Following this period, social, mobility and economic restrictions to curb the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic were implemented in Australia. We quantify the air quality impact of these contrasting periods in the south-eastern states of Victoria and New South Wales (NSW) using a meteorological normalisation approach. A Random Forest (RF) machine learning algorithm was used to compute baseline time series’ of nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), ozone (O₃), carbon monoxide CO and particulate matter with diameter < 2.5 μm (PM₂.₅), based on a 19 year, detrended training dataset. Across Victorian sites, large increases in CO (188%), PM₂.₅ (322%) and ozone (22%) were observed over the RF prediction in January 2020. In NSW, smaller pollutant increases above the RF prediction were seen (CO 58%, PM₂.₅ 80%, ozone 19%). This can be partly explained by the RF predictions being high compared to the mean of previous months, due to high temperatures and strong wind speeds, highlighting the importance of meteorological normalisation in attributing pollution changes to specific events. From the daily observation-RF prediction differences we estimated 249.8 (95% CI: 156.6–343.) excess deaths and 3490.0 (95% CI 1325.9–5653.5) additional hospitalisations were likely as a result of PM₂.₅ and O₃ exposure in Victoria and NSW. During April 2019, when COVID-19 restrictions were in place, on average NO₂ decreased by 21.5 and 8% in Victoria and NSW respectively. O₃ and PM₂.₅ remained effectively unchanged in Victoria on average but increased by 20 and 24% in NSW respectively, supporting the suggestion that community mobility reduced more in Victoria than NSW. Overall the air quality change during the COVID-19 lockdown had a negligible impact on the calculated health outcomes.
Show more [+] Less [-]Characterization of allergenicity of Platanus pollen allergen a 3 (Pla a 3) after exposure to NO2 and O3
2021
Zhou, Shumin | Wang, Xingzi | Lu, Senlin | Yao, Chuanhe | Zhang, Luying | Rao, Lanfang | Liu, Xinchun | Zhang, Wei | Li, Shuijun | Wang, Weiqian | Wang, Qingyue
Pollen allergens, widely present in the atmosphere, are the main cause of seasonal respiratory diseases that affect millions of people worldwide. Although previous studies have reported that nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and ozone (O₃) promote pollen allergy, the specific biological processes and underlying mechanisms remain less understood. In this study, Platanus pollen grains were exposed to gaseous pollutants (NO₂ and O₃). We employed environmental electron microscopy, flow cytometry, western blot assay, enzyme-linked immunoassay, ultraviolet absorption spectrometry, circular dichroism, and protein mass spectrometry to characterise the subpollen particles (SPPs) released from pollen grains. Furthermore, we determined the immunogenicity and pathogenicity induced by Platanus pollen allergen a 3 (Pla a 3). Our results demonstrated that NO₂ and O₃ could damage the pollen cell membranes in SPPs and increase the amount of Pla a 3 allergen released into the atmosphere. Additionally, NO₂ and O₃ altered the structure of Pla a3 protein through nitrification and oxidation, which not only enhanced the immunogenicity of allergens but also increased the stability of the protein. In vivo analysis using an animal model indicated that NO₂ and O₃ greatly aggravated pollen-induced pneumonia. Thus, our study provides guidance for the prevention of pollen allergic diseases.
Show more [+] Less [-]Intraday effects of outdoor air pollution on acute upper and lower respiratory infections in Australian children
2021
Cheng, Jian | Su, Hong | Xu, Zhiwei
Children’s respiratory health are particularly vulnerable to outdoor air pollution, but evidence is lacking on the very acute effects of air pollution on the risk of acute upper respiratory infections (AURI) and acute lower respiratory infections (ALRI) in children. This study aimed to evaluate the risk of cause-specific AURI and ALRI, in children within 24 h of exposure to air pollution. We obtained data on emergency cases, including 11,091 AURI cases (acute pharyngitis, acute tonsillitis, acute obstructive laryngitis and epiglottitis, and unspecified acute upper respiratory infections) and 11,401 ALRI cases (pneumonia, acute bronchitis, acute bronchiolitis, unspecified acute lower respiratory infection) in Brisbane, Australia, 2013–2015. A time-stratified case-crossover analysis was used to examine the hourly association of AURI and ALRI with high concentration (95th percentile) of four air pollutants (particulate matters with aerodynamic diameter <10 μm (PM₁₀) and <2.5 μm (PM₂.₅), ozone (O₃), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂)). We observed increased risk of acute tonsillitis associated with PM₂.₅ within 13–24 h (odds ratio (OR), 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02–2.06) and increased risk of unspecified acute upper respiratory infections related to O₃ within 2–6 h (OR, 1.38, 95%CI, 1.12–1.70), NO₂ within 1 h (OR, 1.19; 95%CI, 1.01–1.40), and PM₂.₅ within 7–12 h (OR, 1.21; 95%CI, 1.02–1.43). Cold season and nigh-time air pollution has greater effects on AURI, whereas greater risk of ALRI was seen in warm season and daytime. Our findings suggest exposures to particulate and gaseous air pollution may transiently increase risk of AURI and ALRI in children within 24 h. Prevention measures aimed at protecting children’s respiratory health should consider the very acute effects of air pollution.
Show more [+] Less [-]Ambient air pollution and stillbirth: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies
2021
Zhang, Huanhuan | Zhang, Xiaoan | Wang, Qiong | Xu, Yuanzhi | Feng, Yang | Yu, Zengli | Huang, Cunrui
Stillbirth has a great impact on contemporary and future generations. Increasing evidence show that ambient air pollution exposure is associated with stillbirth. However, previous studies showed inconsistent findings. To clarify the effect of maternal air pollution exposure on stillbirth, we searched for studies examining the associations between air pollutants, including particulate matter (diameter ≤ 2.5 μm [PM₂.₅] and ≤10 μm [PM₁₀]) and gaseous pollutants (sulfur dioxide [SO₂], nitrogen dioxide [NO₂], carbon monoxide [CO] and ozone [O₃]), and stillbirth published in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase and Cochrane Library until December 11, 2020. The pooled effect estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and the heterogeneity was evaluated using Cochran’s Q test and I² statistic. Publication bias was assessed using funnel plots and Egger’s tests. Of 7546 records, 15 eligible studies were included in this review. Results of long-term exposure showed that maternal third trimester PM₂.₅ and CO exposure (per 10 μg/m³ increment) increased the odds of stillbirth, with estimated odds ratios (ORs) of 1.094 (95% CI: 1.008–1.180) and 1.0009 (95% CI: 1.0001–1.0017), respectively. Entire pregnancy exposure to PM₂.₅ was also associated with stillbirth (OR: 1.103, 95% CI: 1.074–1.131). A 10 μg/m³ increment in O₃ in the first trimester was associated with stillbirth, and the estimated OR was 1.028 (95% CI: 1.001–1.055). Short-term exposure (on lag day 4) to O₃ was also associated with stillbirth (OR: 1.002, 95% CI: 1.001–1.004). PM₁₀, SO₂ and NO₂ exposure had no significant effects on the incidence of stillbirth. Additional well-designed cohort studies and investigations regarding potential biological mechanisms are warranted to elaborate the suggestive association that may help improve intergenerational inequality.
Show more [+] Less [-]Land use regression modelling of NO2 in São Paulo, Brazil
2021
Luminati, Ornella | Ledebur de Antas de Campos, Bartolomeu | Flückiger, Benjamin | Brentani, Alexandra | Röösli, Martin | Fink, Günther | de Hoogh, Kees
Air pollution is a major global public health problem. The situation is most severe in low- and middle-income countries, where pollution control measures and monitoring systems are largely lacking. Data to quantify the exposure to air pollution in low-income settings are scarce.In this study, land use regression models (LUR) were developed to predict the outdoor nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentration in the study area of the Western Region Birth Cohort in São Paulo. NO₂ measurements were performed for one week in winter and summer at eighty locations. Additionally, weekly measurements at one regional background location were performed over a full one-year period to create an annual prediction.Three LUR models were developed (annual, summer, winter) by using a supervised stepwise linear regression method. The winter, summer and annual models explained 52 %, 75 % and 66 % of the variance (R²) respectively. Cross-holdout validation tests suggest robust models. NO₂ levels ranged from 43.2 μg/m³ to 93.4 μg/m³ in the winter and between 28.1 μg/m³ and 72.8 μg/m³ in summer. Based on our annual prediction, about 67 % of the population living in the study area is exposed to NO₂ values over the WHO suggested annual guideline of 40 μg/m³ annual average.In this study we were able to develop robust models to predict NO₂ residential exposure. We could show that average measures, and therefore the predictions of NO₂, in such a complex urban area are substantially high and that a major variability within the area and especially within the season is present. These findings also suggest that in general a high proportion of the population is exposed to high NO₂ levels.
Show more [+] Less [-]Understanding the true effects of the COVID-19 lockdown on air pollution by means of machine learning
2021
Lovrić, Mario | Pavlović, Kristina | Vuković, Matej | Grange, Stuart K. | Haberl, Michael | Kern, Roman
During March 2020, most European countries implemented lockdowns to restrict the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus which causes COVID-19 through their populations. These restrictions had positive impacts for air quality due to a dramatic reduction of economic activity and atmospheric emissions. In this work, a machine learning approach was designed and implemented to analyze local air quality improvements during the COVID-19 lockdown in Graz, Austria. The machine learning approach was used as a robust alternative to simple, historical measurement comparisons for various individual pollutants. Concentrations of NO₂ (nitrogen dioxide), PM₁₀ (particulate matter), O₃ (ozone) and Oₓ (total oxidant) were selected from five measurement sites in Graz and were set as target variables for random forest regression models to predict their expected values during the city’s lockdown period. The true vs. expected difference is presented here as an indicator of true pollution during the lockdown. The machine learning models showed a high level of generalization for predicting the concentrations. Therefore, the approach was suitable for analyzing reductions in pollution concentrations. The analysis indicated that the city’s average concentration reductions for the lockdown period were: -36.9 to −41.6%, and −6.6 to −14.2% for NO₂ and PM₁₀, respectively. However, an increase of 11.6–33.8% for O₃ was estimated. The reduction in pollutant concentration, especially NO₂ can be explained by significant drops in traffic-flows during the lockdown period (−51.6 to −43.9%). The results presented give a real-world example of what pollutant concentration reductions can be achieved by reducing traffic-flows and other economic activities.
Show more [+] Less [-]Impact of weather and emission changes on NO2 concentrations in China during 2014–2019
2021
Shen, Yang | Jiang, Fei | Feng, Shuzhuang | Zheng, Yanhua | Cai, Zhe | Lyu, Xiaopu
Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) is one of the most important air pollutants that highly affect the formation of secondary fine particles and tropospheric ozone. In this study based on hourly NO₂ observations from June 2014 to May 2019 and a regional air quality model (WRF−CMAQ), we comprehensively analyzed the spatiotemporal variations of NO₂ concentrations throughout China and in 12 urban agglomerations (UAs) and quantitatively showed the anthropogenic and meteorological factors controlling the interannual variations (IAVs). The ground observations and tropospheric columns show that high NO₂ concentrations are predominantly concentrated in UAs such as Beijing−Tianjin−Hebei (BTH), the Shandong Peninsula (SP), the Central Plain (CP), Central Shaanxi (CS), and the Yangtze River Delta (YRD). For different UAs, the NO₂ IAVs are different. The NO₂ increased first and then decreased in 2016 or 2017 in BTH, YRD, CS, and Cheng−Yu, and decreased from 2014 to 2019 in Harbin−Changchun, CP, SP, Northern Slope of Tianshan Mountain, and Beibu−Gulf, while increased slightly in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) and Hohhot−Baotou−Erdos−Yulin (HBEY). The NO₂ IAVs were primarily dominated by emission changes. The net wintertime decreases of NO₂ in BTH, Yangtze River Middle−Reach, and PRD were mostly contributed by emission reductions from 2014 to 2018, and the significant increase in the wintertime in HBEY was also dominated by emission changes (93%). Weather conditions also have an important effect on the NO₂ IAVS. In BTH and HBEY, the increases of NO₂ in winter of 2016 are mainly attributed to the unfavorable weather conditions and for the significant decreases in the winter of 2017, the favorable weather conditions also play a very important role. This study provides a basic understanding on the current situation of NO₂ pollution and are helpful for policymakers as well as those interested in the study of tropospheric ozone changes in China and downwind areas.
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