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Zoning the Vulnerability of Urban Areas to Earthquake: The Case Study of Urmia City Full text
2022
Ghaderi, Reza | Farahmand, Ghasem
The risk of earthquake always influences the human communities and inflicts irreparable damages to them. Therefore, preparation against this crisis through the identification and elimination of vulnerable parts is effective in reducing the damages of earthquakes. As Iran is located on one of the two major seismic belts of the world and has many faults, the occurrence of earthquake in the Iranian plateau is natural. Iran is among the top ten countries with the highest rates of earthquakes. Urmia city, which is located on the skirts of Zagros mountain range, is not an exception in this regard, and every year many earthquakes with different intensities occur in this city. Therefore, in order to confront the foregoing issue, we need precise studies regarding construction and safety. In this study, to evaluate the rate of vulnerability to earthquakes, the effective parameters were identified and then were weighted using fuzzy hierarchical analysis. The vulnerability map was prepared using index and fuzzy logic overlay method for Urmia statistical blocks and was presented in the spatial information system environment. The obtained results indicated the vulnerability of nearly 50 percent of the city area to earthquake (i.e., 151574 m2), with .005 percent having a very high vulnerability grade and .40 percent (i.e., 11538359 m2) a high vulnerability grade to earthquake.
Show more [+] Less [-]Examining and Modeling the Changes in the Gardens Neighboring Lake Urmia During the Past Thirty Years Full text
2022
Asghari Sarasekanrood, Sayyad | Porfatali, Mohammad Ali | Mohammadzadeh Shishehgaran, Maryam
This study aimed at evaluating the supervised pixel-based classification of the maximum likelihood in the examination of the climactic changes of the Urmia Lake catchment area in 1-, 6-, 10-, and 14-year spans and then evaluating and modeling the changes in the gardens neighboring Lake Urmia during a 30-year span and its role in the changes at Lake Urmia water level. In this study, first the Landsat images of the years 1990, 2000, 2014, 2020, and 2021 were downloaded. Then, using the ENVI5.3 software, a classification was made based on the maximum likelihood method. Next, the IDRISSI TERRSET software and CA-MARKOV model were used to model conditions for the year 2051. This model was then analyzed in the GIS software. It was found that the classification based on the maximum likelihood method has been an appropriate one. The results of this classification showed that overall, the maximum changes from 1990 to 2021 has been related to the irrigated gardens and fields. In this period, 3495 square kilometers have been added to these lands, i.e., the number has doubled. Modeling the 2051-year conditions in the light of the transition probability matrix showed that the maximum likelihood of land use changes is in the irrigated garden and farm use. On the other hand, the modeling in this study indicated that there has been a reduction in the expanse of irrigated gardens and fields as well as salt lands in the region. Finally, the model predicted an increase in water area in 2051.
Show more [+] Less [-]The Exploration of the Process of Urban Area Development From Four Perspectives: The Case Study of Qazvin Urban Area Full text
2022
Abassi Verki, Elham | Godarzvand Chegini, Roqaye
The purpose of this study was examining the course of development of Qazvin urban area in order to optimize the decisions of related authorities to enhance sustainable spatial efficiency and exploitation. Through a meta-analysis, four urban area perspectives were extracted, including natural-cultural, administrative-political, functional, and communicative. This was then followed by a theoretical conclusion. GIS spatial statistics were used for the analysis purposes. The results indicated the presence of only the physical and political perspective. The administrative-political perspective of urban area (as the only formal area) and functional urban area (only in an informal manner) were identified as the urban perspectives of Qazvin. The investigation of the natural-cultural perspective of Qazvin urban area led to the identification of southern Alborz area, which based on water resources approximately conforms to the political borders of Qazvin province. Due to its use as a crossroads, this area does not have cultural coherence, and its closeness to the political capital of Iran has made its environmental conditions critical and has changed the role of this area. To solve these problems, it is suggested that first an ecological planning is done as the basis of spatial planning and development decisions. Moreover, due to the cultural inconsistency of Qazvin area, it is suggested to adopt creation of identity through regional governance. Moreover, the economic areas resulting from functionally connected areas should be enhanced and directed in the light of the ecological conditions of the area. Although the application of neo-regionalism viewpoint at transnational level is not possible due to the specific political conditions of Iran, its application in regional and local levels seems to be unavoidable in order to reduce ecologic crisis (water resources) and enhance identity creation in Qazvin urban area.
Show more [+] Less [-]A Spatial Evaluation and Analysis of the Role of High-Rise CBDs on the Changes of Spatial-Functional Organization of Hamedan City Full text
2022
Rezaei Rad, Hadi | Sabetian, Mohammad Javad
As city framework, the city spatial organization is a broader and more comprehensive concept than city spatial structure. In fact, the spatial structure tends only to the physical structure of the city, while spatial organization takes also into account the examination and identification of various functions, including economic, social, transportation functions. In addition, high-rise buildings – as phenomena that have flourished in the past decade in Hamedan and are still growing – have always got influenced by various factors and have affected various urban aspects such as spatial-physical, economic, social, environmental, and traffic dimensions. In fact, in addition to the effects of this issue on the physical structure of the city, they have brought about many changes in the spatial and functional organization of the city such that changes in the daily commuting to shopping centers, offices, etc. in the city are clearly observable. On the other hand, the previous studies have rarely addressed the effect of high-rise buildings on the spatial and functional organization of the city in major areas of business. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to analyze and evaluate the effects of high-rise buildings in the form of major modern central business districts on the spatial-functional organization of Hamedan city. This study was applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of method. Moreover, in order to collect the required data, the documents related to urban development plans, field observations, interviews, and questionnaires were used. Then, to analyze the obtained data, the spatial-locative analysis models in GIS environment were adopted. The conceptual model of this study provided 8 indices for the analysis of the effects of modern high-rise CBDs on city spatial-functional organization, and each of them was analyzed spatially. The results of the analyses indicated that in the single-core spatial organization of Hamedan city, there is a high concentration on the central part of the city, but this concentrated area is expanding and new urban cores are emerging due to various factors. One of the reasons for the appearance of these new cores is business-office high-rise buildings. Another noteworthy finding of this study is that the majority of these newly emerging urban cores are growing along Buali-Jahannama road. Therefore, due to the changes in the spatial-functional structure of the city, paying more attention to urban infrastructures and flexible planning should be among the main priorities of the city management.
Show more [+] Less [-]An Analysis of the Trend of Changes in the Regulatory Services Related to Carbon Sequestration in Tehran City affected by the Spatial Processes of Landscape Mosaic Full text
2022
Naroei, Behrooz | Barghjelveh, Shahindokht | Esmaeilzadeh, Hassan | Zebardast, Lobat
In order to explain the ecological-sociological strategy of Tehran land use network/ land cover, the present study was tried to identify the spatial process of the change in the landscape mosaic pattern and its effect on carbon sequestration over the course of 3 decades from 1990 to 2020. In this study, the role of landscape measures in the identification of landscape mosaic spatial pattern changes and its combination with data obtained from ecosystem service modeling was shown. To this end, after examining the process of structural-functional changes in landscape mosaic using decision tree algorithm and InVEST model, the complexity of the relationship between landscape spatial pattern and the quantity of carbon sequestration regulatory services at the two levels of class and landscape was addressed using the measures and data obtained from InVEST model. The findings indicated that the volume of carbon sequestration regulatory services in all periods had reduced due to the effects of the spatial process of “accumulation” in construction strains. Moreover, in the 1990-2020 period, the highest rate of carbon storage loss (291656 tones, 9.58%) occurred due to the effects of the spatial processes of “deletion” in green lands and “fragmentation” in barren lands. In the 2000-2010 and 2010-2020 periods, the volume of carbon storage reduction were 182209 (6.62%) and 159688 (6.22%) tones, respectively. Pertaining to this discussion was the finding that the effect of the change in the index of strain numbers in green and barren lands for all periods was accompanied by increased fineness, which indicates its reverse relationship with carbon sequestration rate. On the other hand, the reduction of other measures in green and barren lands reveals the existence of a direct relationship with the loss of a volume of carbon sequestration in the foregoing period. At the landscape level, the reduction of heterogeneity and simplification of the landscape mosaic spatial pattern led to the reduction of carbon sequestration. From this perspective, it is necessary to prioritize the identification of the spatial processes effective on the landscape structure model in the completion of the processes of the evaluation of the urban development effects on the carbon sequestration service current.
Show more [+] Less [-]The Effect of oil Industries on Air Pollution and its Optimal Locating Through the Environmental Approach in Ahvaz Metropolis Full text
2022
Ahmadi, Hoda | Borna, Reza | Morshedi, Jafar
Air pollution is one of the most important problems of industrial cities. The existence of large industrial factories, official and industrial facilities, National Iranian South Oil Company, National Iranian Drilling Company, etc., have turned Ahvaz to one of the main industrial centers and one of the most polluted cities of Iran. Coming into contact with airborne microorganisms is related to a host of negative effects on the human health. This study was carried out to find out the effect of oil industries on air pollution and its optimal locating through the environmental approach in Ahvaz metropolis. In this study, SCREEN3 software was used to find out and analyze the distribution of Sox, NOx, and CO pollutants. Based on expert opinion, the main criteria were determined as climatic, natural, environmental, and economic factors. After calculating weights through the AHP model and attaining the information layers, the GIS software capabilities to combine and overlap the maps were used. This led to a map depicting the optimal location of oil industries congruent with the environmental approach in Ahvaz metropolis. According to the obtained results, there should be no residence-based activity in at least 5000 meters distance from the oil industries, where air pollutants have a considerable density. That is to say, within this distance, the animate and inanimate creatures will be damaged the most. The most optimal areas for the establishment of oil industry facilities are located on the west, south, southwest, and parts of east and north of the area under study.
Show more [+] Less [-]The Optimal Ranking of Candidate Hospital Sites Using a Combination of Objective Weighting Method and Multi-Criteria Decision Making Based on Geographical Information System Full text
2022
Zandi, Iman | Pahlavani, Parham | Bigdeli, Behnaz
Hospitals are among the most important service centers, and the selection of the optimal site for them is a very important (yet complex) undertaking, as it can bring about optimal spatial distribution of hospitals and can make them optimally accessible for citizens. In the present study, in order to optimally locate hospitals in District 5 of Tehran metropolis, a combination of the geographical information system, objective weighting methods, and multi-criteria decision making method was used. The geographical information system was used to analyze and manage the optimal hospital locating criteria, the CRITIC weighting method was implemented to account for the correlation between the criteria, and Shannon's entropy method was used to model the existing uncertainty in the criteria. CODAS multi-criteria decision making method was used due to its novelty and the evaluation of alternatives based on two criteria. Based on the results obtained from CRITIC weighting method, distance from health centers, and based on the results of Shannon's entropy method, distance from industrial areas were the most important optimal hospital locating criteria. The results of ranking the candidate sites using CRITIC-CODAS and Shannon’s entropy-CODAS were almost the same, and both methods identified the sites on the western side of the District (that did not have any hospital) as the appropriate sites. The results of the study indicated the high accuracy of combined objective weighting and multi-criteria decision making methods in optimal locating of the hospitals. It might be asserted that these methods can replace thematic weighting methods such as analytical hierarchy process.
Show more [+] Less [-]The Provision of a Model for the Development of Regional Innovation in Iran: The Case Study of Yazd Province Full text
2022
Ansari, Majid | Rafieian, Mohsen | Honari, Maryam | Rahatian, Mohammad Javad
It has been years since innovation was first introduced as a driver of economic development. In addition, after a decade of attention to the regional innovation system policies in the Yazd province, this approach has not shown any positive effect on the development of the province. Thus, this study set out to provide a suitable model for the regional innovation system development in Iran following the investigation of the Yazd province as a case study. To this end, this study used the exploratory factor analysis and relative importance index to identify and analyze the key factors effective on the development of regional innovation system. The findings obtained from the opinions of experts and actors of this field showed that the three factors of human resources; the Science and Technology Park; and growth, innovation, and creativity centers in Yazd Province have the highest importance among all studied factors. This reveals the concentration of finances, policies, and projects on these factors and ignorance of other factors. In the light of the importance and the designated priorities, the factors of innovation system in Yazd province were classified into five groups. These included human and social resources, innovation infrastructure, innovation processes, business dynamics, and endogenous development. It can be concluded that so far, the concentration has been on the elementary stage of regional innovation system model – which essentially functions as the input for the system – and the innovation system in Yazd province is in its early stages. Accordingly to the obtained model of the study, the regional innovation system development in Yazd province needs concentration on the three groups of factors, i.e., innovation processes, business dynamism, and endogenous development.
Show more [+] Less [-]Determining the Local Factors Effective on the Achievement of Ecological City: The Case Study of Darcheh City Full text
2022
Barati, Ebrahim | Saberi, Hamid | Khademolhoseiny, Ahmad | Azani, Mehri
Sustainable development has gradually and over time brought about various approaches with different goals. Ecological city is one of these approaches that has a stronger emphasis on environment issue as well as the relationships between city development and nature. The purpose of this study was to determine the local factors effective on the achievement of ecological city in order to sustainably develop Darcheh city. This study was mixed-methods (qualitative-quantitative) in terms of paradigm, and descriptive-analytical and exploratory in terms of nature. Data was collected using document analysis and field study through two means: interviews with experts using the Delphi method and a questionnaire. In the qualitative phase (the Delphi method), 30 experts and specialists were interviewed. In the quantitative phase, the statistical population of the study was comprised of Darcheh citizens aging over 15, who were 37367 individuals in the year 2016. From among these, 375 participants were selected using cluster sampling. The face validity of the questionnaire was confirmed by the urban planning experts, and its reliability was corroborated through Chronbach’s alpha coefficient. The results of the study in both phases (qualitative and quantitative) showed that the environmental and economic dimensions – with the average scores of 4.23 and 4.11 and (beta) regression coefficients of .345 and .349 – best describe the achievement of ecological city, there is a relative homogeneity among various neighborhoods of the city in terms of ecological city indices, and the ecological city development can be attained through a clear model. Moreover, according to Pearson correlation coefficient, the citizens who have had a higher educational level have shown a higher tendency (.585) to help implement the ecological city project.
Show more [+] Less [-]Prioritizing the Development of Touristic Towns and Villages Within the Spatial Arena of Mazandaran Province Full text
2022
Nouri, Mohammad Javad | Shahin, Samira | Molaei, Fereshteh
One of the policies that has been taken into account by many countries to develop sustainable tourism is the development of touristic towns and villages in a centralized manner and the prevention of haphazard, unplanned contractions that destroy environment, sociocultural context, and economic structure of the touristic attraction sites. This policy was enacted by the Iranian cabinet in 2017. The purpose of this study was to present a methodology to identify the spaces suitable for the development of touristic towns and villages. The study was applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of methodology. As the input of the analytic model, the spatial territory of Mazandaran province was divided into 23007 spatial units, each covering 100 hectares. Then, the development of touristic towns and villages were evaluated and prioritized. In this article, the combined index of “the priority of the development of touristic towns and villages in Mazandaran province” was made by combining exploratory factor analysis and network analysis (F’ANP) based on 14 factors effective on the development of touristic towns and villages. The resulting map was then trimmed based on four control indices. The findings of the model showed that the three factors of “environmental potential and transportation infrastructure,” “the quantity and quality of serving the tourists,” and “tourism investment potential” are effective on the prioritization of Mazandaran province spaces in order to develop touristic towns and villages. The results of study demonstrated that the development of touristic towns and villages in this province is possible in the middle and eastern side of seashore, in limited areas in the eastern plains, and in the eastern and western mountainous lands.
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