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Analysis of Barriers & factors affecting the implementation of projects & spatial planning in Tehran province
2017
taghvaee, masoud | bekmohammadi, hasan | Zali, Nader | Kasaei, Mitra
Studies on spatial planning in Iranian history has experienced more than seven decades of programming, But has never been implemented and a firm determination for its operation has not been seen so far. This is an applied and developmental research, descriptive and analytical in method. research and data collection has been made through questionnaires and Delphi techniques. In this study, using cross-impact analysis and cross-impact matrix software to perform complex calculations were performed MICMAC. The results showed ,effective factors on implementation of spatial planning; Tehran province is regional political polarization, Tehran as a development pole in this province and being placed on the west to east and north to south corridors and the necessity of the province interaction with neighbor regions was determined and suitable solutions to overcome barriers in the way of implementing spatial planning in Tehran province, have been suggested in this study.
Show more [+] Less [-]Prediction the Most Suitable of Agricultural Zones in the Tajan Watershed Using Multi Criteria Evaluation (MCE) Approach
2017
Rajaei, Fatemeh | Esmaili, Abbas | Salmanmahiny, Abdolrassoul | Delavar, Majid | Gholipour, Mostafa | Massah Bavani, Alireza
In recent decades almost of land use changes without taking capabilities and limitations of environmental have caused environmental problems and known forms of soil degradation and aquatic ecosystem pollution. The purpose of this investigation is determining how to mitigate the effects of future land use changes in Tajan watershed by investigating ecological potential as a strategy for natural resource conservation. Therefore, the land change modeling (LCM) was used for the analysis of possible future land useand then using Geographic Information System (GIS) and multi-criteria analysis (linear weighted combination) was determined the most sustainability of agricultural areas. The results showed that during the period from 2010 to 2040, 34 739 hectares of forest land use were declined and 27 071 and 7668 hectares of agricultural lands and pastures will increase respectively and the 3473 hectares of the most susceptible areas possible change from forest to agriculture and pasture were extracted. So expect to assessing changes land use based on the ecological potential in the future can protect Hyrcanian forests for the prevention of unprincipled changes in the coming period in this region.
Show more [+] Less [-]Land Cover Change Modeling based on Artificial Neural Networks and transmission potential method in LCM (Case Study: Forests Gilan-e Gharb, Kermanshah Province)
2017
Parma, Rohollah | Maleknia, Rahim | Shataee, Shaban | Naghavi, Hamed
In order to land cover change modeling and detect to possibility of predict the future trend of Land Change modeler (LCM) was used. VNIR Data ASTER Sensor of TERRA satellite with spatial resolution of 15m for three periods 2000, 2007 and 2016 from Gilan-e-Gharb forests of Kermanshah province were analyzed. Land cover maps of years 2000, 2007 and 2016 four categories: forest cover, pasture lands, agricultural lands and built-up area areas for each of images were extracted. The results of data analysis in the first period (2000-2007) and the second period (2007-2016) showed the greatest increase in agricultural lands and pasture lands have the greatest decrease area. Based on these changes and by taking eight independent variable, transition potential modeling of 2016 was done using Artificial Neural Network. Then by hard predict model and images were classified of first period (2000- 2007), the land cover map in 2016 using Land Change Modeler was predicted. After evaluating the model, 83.09 and 71.10 overall accuracy was obtained for the first and second periods showed the consistency between prediction map and classified map of year 2016. The land cover maps by entering the second period (2007-2016) to Land Change Modeler the land.
Show more [+] Less [-]Integration assessment of the protected areas using landscape ecological approach (Case Study: Kolah Ghazy National Park and Wildlife Refuge)
2017
Barati, Behzad | Jahani, Ali | Zebardast, Lobat | Rayegani, Behzad
Landscape fragmentation, due to the roads construction, urban infrastructure development and other land uses, seems to be in result of the loss of habitat in protected areas. Indeed, Landscape fragmentation causes a huge negative impact on wildlife, including important species. In result, the monitoring and management of protected areas, through the landscape ecology and quantification of fragmentation, will be so applicable. This research aims to quantify the landscape fragmentation in Kolah Ghazy national Park and wildlife refuge. To achieve this purpose, RS and GIS techniques were used to extract land uses in studied area and then landscape fragmentation was quantified using landscape metrics (CA, CAP, TE, MSI, NP, MPS and MNN) in class level. The results cleared that rich rangeland patches have been more integrated, but the incompatible land uses, such as mining, agriculture and urban infrastructure development make these patches to be more far away from each other, so, reduction of incompatible land uses is recommended in the region.
Show more [+] Less [-]Explaining the obstacles of the movement of capital in Iran with a spatial planning approach
2017
Mousavi, Mir Najaf | Kiani, Mostafa
The government system of' Iran is centralized, and because in unitary and single power states, the security of political center (capital) with the total security of political system (National Security) has a direct relationship, the capital movement in Iran becomes important from two aspects; the first is to organize Tehran city and balance urban and regional system of the country and the second is to maintain the political security of the country. Capital movement from Tehran to other cities has been among the issues for more than 220 years but nothing has been done for some reasons. The aim of this paper which is written by descriptive – analyzing and survey method is to identify the main obstacles and the challenges of processing the capital and to present the strategies to remove the obstacles. So 7 elements as Economic, political, security, executive, social-cultural, legal and natural-ecological elements are selected in 55 items and are weighed by the academic elite people. After analyzing the information and using the structural equations model the results showed that the legal factor holding 10 items has the most direct (0/089) and indirect effect and the natural-ecological factor has the least effect (0/033) in moving the capital. Also the results of the network analyzing model for preference survey showed that the experts give priority to executive obstacles which hold final weigh 0/218 and compatibility rate 0/022 stands at the first grade in the priority survey of the obstacles.
Show more [+] Less [-]Place Vulnerability Assessment of Ardabil’s Infrastructures Using Passive Defense Approach
2017
Seyedin, Afshar | Amini varaki, Saeed | Rostami, Hussein | Yazdani, Mohamad Hussein
Although Iran has a strategic position in the Middle East and there are threats of neighboring and non-neighboring countries, projects and economic infrastructures have been established without proper defensive considerations and are targets for enemy threats and other offensive actions. The present study is an applied and developmental research that aims to study and scrutinize the vulnerability of infrastructures in Ardabil province from the perspective of passive defense. Moreover, analytic network process (ANP) approach is used in GIS environment with elements of physical and biological environment, accessibility, and infrastructures in order to carry out the research. The results of spatial pattern analysis and vulnerability zoning show that the spatial distribution of infrastructure in Ardabil province is cluster type (non-dispersive) and in terms of vulnerability, 7% of Ardabil province is located in highly vulnerable areas which are themselves among the most densely populated places with high amounts of established infrastructures. This is due to poor physical indicators and lack of sufficient managerial, industrial, and military institutions in these areas of the Ardabil province.
Show more [+] Less [-]The doctrine of South Korea spatial planning system in order to apply in the circumstance of Iran
2017
Akbari, Reza
Developing according to foreign investment in South Korea is an economic miracle of contemporary century. The evolution of economic miracle has been accomplished by complete success of spatial planning. The most striking feature of spatial planning in South Korea is its implementation. Using descriptive- analytical method, this paper will seek success procedure of South Korea spatial planning and basic role of government in order to respond three questions: how government of South Korea was able to achieve such successes? Applying spatial planning as a tool in this process, which role government play? And what doctrines have this experiment in order to apply in Iran? Spatial planning of South Korea implement in three scale of master land, regional and urban plan. Urban planning of Korea has a three-tier structure. Urban master plan determine long-term growth path and future image of city in the upper level, urban management plan present program of city with binding rules and objective details in the next level, and the manner of programs and necessary strategies implementation in the third level. Urban management plan, including zoning plan (land use), urban facility plan, Maintenance plan of the city (time-out texture) and detailed plan of regions, is an unique, thorough and so successful sample among different countries and its doctrine is exploitable for Iran which has no land use and urban facilities plan and no sufficient and necessary solidarity in the field of time-out textures and detailed plan. Administrative identical process, preparing all plans by executors and approving lower – rank plans by preparers of upper – rank plans are another striking feature applying in spatial planning system of Korea which is major factors of urban plans implementation.
Show more [+] Less [-]Foresight Settlement System in Scenario Planning, Improvement Regional Planning (Case Study: Isfahan Province)
2017
Parizadi, Taher | mostafavi saheb, soran | Shah mohamadnejad, Somaye
Regional Foresight, which focuses on some of the specific land area in a given territory sub-national aims to achieve the desired future decisions, will be operational. This article examines the spatial organization of Settlement systems in Isfahan province And Presentation of the urban system in the horizon 1420. This paper tries to identify the key factors influencing the development process at the regional scale, producing both possible and probable scenarios to provide the in the next 25 years Isfahan province. This research is a combination of documentary and survey methods in terms of category and is based on new methods in the science of future studies, analytical and exploratory in terms of nature, which is conducted by a combination of qualitative and quantitative models. Structural analysis are used to analyze data by use of MICMAC software. The results indicate that the key and strategic variables of Isfahan province development in Horizon 1420 includes: the way of countrys macro management, the way of managing the province, water resources, inter-institutional cooperation, population,Research & Development, role of transnational Province, Investment security, Industrial Production and mineral, level of IT, Tourism,production technology. Based on the findings, Isfahan province in terms of arrangement space systems will face in the next 25 years with five main scenario: Radial scenario, a scenario dismissed Islands, a cluster scenario, the scenario of multi-center, network scenario. Among the scenarios planned, the network scenario we can see the functional spatial integration in the region and the development integrated and balanced space.
Show more [+] Less [-]Dispersion modeling drought caused by climate change in Iran using system dynamics
2017
Alizadeh, Shahmorad | Mohammadi, Hossein | Kardavani, Parviz
Drought changes for optimal operation management of water resources well is the sensible. That's why last round of very extensive research on modeling drought in the world and Iran is and using their water projects and has conducted numerous hydraulic. One of the goals dynamic systems modeling potential policies to improve system performance. Modeling SPI index as an indicator of the country's drought situation stations using radial neural network model for each station was done. Independent variables neural network, relative humidity, temperature and lack of objects, which were selected according to their impact on precipitation. SPI index is the dependent variable. In total period of 42 years calculated by SPI, 12-month and 348 standard score by calculating the SPI 24-month, 336 standard score is obtained for each station. At all stations, ETo values from January to July to December increased and then fell in July to its maximum level reached in all stations. The highest average monthly ETo values in Abadan and Ahvaz stations in July and 18/232 and 16/214 mm respectively happened.
Show more [+] Less [-]The interactive relationship between spatial structure and regional flows system in South Alborz
2017
Azimi, Azadeh
Analysis and study of spatial structure and its relationship with regional flows changings is one of the most important issues in regional and country planning. In this paper we try to analyze the spatial structure of South-Alborz (that includes six provinces) based on passengers flow. In order to respond to questions and specific targets we used analytical-descriptive method. Also we used a lot of different statistical tests in ARC GIS and in order to analyze spatial organization of flows, we used another statistical test in UCINET and NET DRAW. This study is an applied and basic research and is a ex post facto. Based on findings the spatial structure of population (as a harmonious whole) has a relationship with passenger flows and these show a lot of forms and trends by time.
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