Production, consumption and trade of sheep and goat meat in Greece for the period 1996-2005
1997
Stoforos, C.E. (University of Reading (UK)) | Apostolopoulos, C.D. (Harokopion Univ. (Greece))
Sheep and goat meat is the most important sector of animal production in Greece because it represent 43 per cent of the gross value of crop production. Every effort of special reference and study concerning production and market of sheep and goat meat, always presents special interest. The purpose of this paper is the construction of a simulation model for the sheep and goat meat producing sector, able to contribute to the evaluation of relative agricultural policy measures as well as to the analysis of the effects from CAP reform and GATT agreement. The fact that until now there has been no relative research in Greece, lead to the construction of this model. The analysis is divided into two stages: the first stage comprises the estimation of supply and demand elasticities and the second stage includes the use of the estimated elasticities through which the pursued forecasts were realised. Concerning the results of the scenario on the effects of CAP reform and GATT agreement, the following points should be quoted. The inflows from the EU to Greece present a small decrease, sheep and goat meat production is slightly reduced and the consumption of this product is increased by 2.5 per cent by the end of the decade (year 2005), finally, because of the above there is no essential effect on the trade balance.
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