Determination of eligible lands for A/R CDM project activities and of priority Districts for project development support in Indonesia

Based on the best available remote sensing data from before 1990, the total area of formally eligible lands in Indonesia for the aff orestation and reforestation (A/R) Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) activities under the Kyoto protocol is about 46 M ha. Priorities for assistance in the development of A/R CDM project activities may use criteria based on (i) the Human Development Index (HDI), which is focused on districts with below-average HDI; (ii) population density, which is in the range where the land/labour ratio is conducive to profi table tree-based farming systems; and (iii) Fire Risk Index (FRI). Overall the lists for Java, Sumatra, Kalimantan, Nusa Tenggara, Sulawesi, Molluca, and Papua that meet these criteria involve 302 Districts, 195 M ha of total area in the districts with 48 M ha of eligible Kyoto lands and 158 M people and a mean HDI of 64.7. Th e mean of district-level population density is 293 persons/km2 and the mean FRI is 0.086. When a default setting of the criteria (minimum 15% of eligible lands in the district, population density between 10 and 100 persons/km2, HDI below 65), we obtain a priority list of 60 districts (20% of the total). Th is priority lists involves 46 M ha in the districts (24% of the total) with 19 M ha of Kyoto lands (40% of the total) and 19.5 M people (12% of the total) and a mean HDI of 62.9 (refl ecting the pro-poor prioritisation), mean of district-level population density of 53 persons/km2 (the larger districts tend to have lower densities) and mean FRI of 0.135 (60% higher than for the set as a whole).