Timor-Leste Social Assistance : Public Expenditure and Program Performance Report

World Bank

Timor-Leste Social Assistance : Public Expenditure and Program Performance Report

2013

World Bank

The Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste is a young, post-conflict nation endowed with significant oil revenues. Timor-Leste has one of the highest birth rates in the world (2.41 percent population growth) with over 44 percent of the population below 15 years of age (Timor-Leste Census, 2010). Since the 2006 crisis, the Government of Timor-Leste has shown a clear commitment to social assistance. Globally, poverty persistence is closely related to major life-cycle disadvantages resulting in low human capital outcomes, and yet large-scale poverty remains unaddressed by current social protection efforts. This expenditure review and performance evaluation report is part of the technical assistance provided to Timor-Leste's Ministry of Social Solidarity (MSS) in response to the lack of any national level evaluation of the safety nets system since its inception. To that end, this study seeks to assess the social assistance policy, as well as the performance of the main MSS social assistance programs. More specifically, the aims are to: (1) determine whether existing programs are efficient, effective and sufficient in addressing main vulnerabilities; (2) assess the adequacy and composition of the allocation of financial resources for delivery of government social assistance; (3) review operational and administrative issues; and (4) make recommendations for improving the delivery of social safety nets. Some of the questions that this report seeks to answer include: what are the main risks facing the vulnerable groups in Timor-Leste?; what types of programs are in place to address those risks?; is the range of programs and their financial allocations appropriate for the country's needs?; is the institutional arrangement adequate?; are these programs effective and reaching the intended beneficiaries?; and are they implemented cost-effectively? The report is organized as follows: chapter one gives context, purpose and conceptual framework. Chapter two describes the attributes of the poorest 40 percent and the main vulnerabilities and risks that low-income families in Timor-Leste face. Chapter three provides a historical overview of the social assistance policy and programs that emerged after the 2006-2007 conflict. A summary of levels and trends in aggregate public expenditure on safety nets, composition of spending as well as program-specific budget analysis is presented in chapter four. Chapter five assesses performance of the safety nets by analyzing coverage, targeting effectiveness, and generosity. Chapter six examines impact and targeting efficiency using simulation techniques. Chapter seven assesses implementation capacity, and business processes, and in particular, the following: ID systems, enrollment, payments arrangements and monitoring and evaluation. Chapter eight concludes with implications for social response and policy considerations.

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Palabras clave de AGROVOC

accountability agricultural productivity capacity building cash transfers child growth child nutrition civil service disaster relief drought economic growth economic recovery extreme poverty farmers financial institutions food consumption food insecurity food prices food security health care health services household budget household consumption household income human capital income income distribution inflation interest rates irrigation living standards malnutrition market prices national income natural disasters old age pension pensions poverty reduction poverty traps public expenditure public services public works risk management rural areas rural population savings school feeding shock social protection social safety nets social security social services targeting unemployment vocational training war

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Editorial

Washington, DC

Otras materias

Household poverty; Financial support; Chronic poverty; Recurrent expenditure; Self-insurance; Program managers; Anti-poverty policy; Income shocks; Cash transfer; Consumption smoothing; Beneficiary; National poverty; Social safety net; Inequality; Cash transfer programs; Administrative systems; National poverty line; Disability insurance; Public spending; Number of children; Ministry of finance; Child protection; Child mortality; Job loss; Disability pensions; Social contract; Economic security; Sustainability analysis; Oil prices; Productive assets; Protection policies; Participation rate; Household vulnerability; Budgetary allocation; Social programs; Assistance strategy; Assistance programs; Economies of scale; Operational costs; Physical infrastructure; Vulnerable populations; Expenditures; Poor infrastructure; Rural; Crop yields; Risk coping; Poor households; Poor families; National welfare; Program implementation; Educational attainment; Poverty relief; Operational processes; Social spending; Food needs; Formal credit; Cash benefits; Beneficiaries; Benefit levels; Domestic revenue; Limited access; Emergency aid; Safety net; Program management; Food programs; Total expenditure; Female-headed households; Disability benefits; Coping strategies; Household welfare; Public finances; Budget preparation; Financial resources; Means test; Fiscal sustainability; Financial infrastructure; Poverty measures; Technical assistance; Commercial bank; Subsidization; Transparency; Old age poverty; Price index; Educational achievement; Poor; Human development; Cash payments; Household head; Program performance; Public transfers; Economic shocks; Public transfer; Benefit amount; Vulnerable groups; Indirect beneficiaries; Hard budget constraint; Household size; Government budget; Transfer payments; Social pensions; Budget execution; Social policy; Economic risk; Poverty rates; Assist communities; Poverty assessment; Health center; Government spending; Cash grants; Disability pension; Formal safety nets; Poverty line; Program effectiveness; Conditional cash; Protection policy; Social benefits; Social assistance; Works program; Cost effectiveness; School feeding programs; Conflict; Food staples; Vulnerable households; Social transfer; Human capital investments; Service delivery; Payment transactions; Program eligibility; Poverty impact; Mismanagement; Household survey; Incidence of poverty; Entitlements; Poverty reduction strategy; School enrollment; Income security; Performance evaluation; Poverty persistence; Protection system; Welfare loss; Aggregate public expenditure; Transfer program; Intended beneficiaries; Capital expenditures; Budget envelope; Human development index; School attendance; Idiosyncratic shocks; Rural economy; Anti-poverty; Capacity constraints; Risk sharing; Private transfers; Political support; National budget; Price subsidies; Anti-poverty program; Rural households

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http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16454http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igoWorld BankCC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO

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Timor-Leste Social Assistance : Public Expenditure and Program Performance Report

2013

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