Risk modeling for wetland restoration investments
2021
Davydov, E., Dubna State Univ. (Russian Federation) | Davydova, I., Ryazan State Univ. named after S.A. Yesenin (Russian Federation) | Mazhayskiy, Yu., All-Russian Research Inst. of Hydrotechnics and Melioration named after A.N. Kostyakova, Moscow (Russian Federation)
Sustainable development of rural areas with wetlands was a priority goal of the study. Natural fires are the main cause of destruction of peat bog soils. As a rule, drained peatlands suffer from fires to the greatest extent. Therefore, there are investment risks that limit the sustainable development of rural areas. To reduce the risks, a program of flooding of peatlands is being implemented. Previously, it was found that this technological process leads to a drop in the value of land plots. The aim of the study is to model the risks associated with wetland restoration and to optimize the social and economic consequences of this technological process. The object of the study is a complex of natural and social conditions in the rural territory of the Ryazan Meshchera. The subject of the study is optimization of the selection of rural areas in the Ryazan Meshchera for the flooding of peatlands. The study is based on analytical modelling of the search for sites with the lowest investment risks. The results of the study are presented in the form of maps. These maps allow to diagnose places with the lowest investment risk due to the high efficiency of peat bogging projects and the favourable attitude of the local population. There were also developed proposals related to improving the comfort of life of the rural population in areas with restored wetlands. Reclamation measures were recommended to protect peat soils from fires and to restore specialized agriculture on drained peatlands.
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