Predicting decay and round-wood end use volume in trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) | Prévision du volume de bois carié et de la répartition par produits chez le peuplier faux-tremble (Populus tremuloides Michx.)
2008
Schneider, Robert | Riopel, Martin | Pothier, David | Côté, Lévis
• In Quebec (Canada), predicting net merchantable volume of standing trees is essential to adjust stumpage fees. Furthermore, round-wood end use is important in the provincial forest management context because it is used to split the allowable annual cut among the different mill types. • A method relying on linear, binomial and cumulative logit regressions is proposed to predict both decay volume and round-wood end use volume. Tree age, height and quality, as well as ecological region, stand origin and presence of Phellinus tremulae (Bond.) Bond. & Boriss. and Ceratocystis fimbriata (Ellis & Halst.) fungi are the main factors that contribute to the presence and the proportion of decayed merchantable volume. Once the net merchantable volume is estimated, its division into round-wood end use is estimated through a series of steps involving the presence of Phellinus tremulae, saw log height, stem quality and size as explanatory variables. The first step is a multinomial regression which predicts the number of end uses (pulp wood, low-grade saw logs, saw logs, low-grade veneer, and veneer) that are present in the stem. A series of logistic regressions then determines the presence of each end use, with linear regressions predicting the round-wood volume of each end use.
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