Health risk assessment of groundwater nitrogen pollution in Songnen Plain

Access to safe drinking water is one of the fundamental human rights and an important part of healthy living. This study considered various land use methods, used geostatistical analysis, and triangular random model to explore nitrogen pollution and estimate its potential risk to human health for local populations in Songnen Plain of Northeast China and recognize parameter uncertainties. Nitrate concentrations in groundwater ranged from 0.01 to 523.45 mg/L, more than 72.35% of the samples exceeded Grade III threshold (20 mg/L of N) as per China's standard, and nitrate nitrogen content is greater than 20 mg/L accounted for around 60% of the research area, mainly distributed in the eastern and central high plain area. The nitrate-nitrogen content of groundwater in the town land was significantly higher than that of agricultural land, and the ammonia nitrogen content was conversely. The townland's risk value was two times that of agricultural land, considering different land use methods would avoid overestimating or underestimating regional risk value. Non-carcinogenic risks (HI) of two land use were above the safety level (i.e., HI > 1), suggesting that groundwater nitrate would have significant health effects on the age groups, and further threaten children. There was a wide range of fluctuations in the uncertainty of nitrogen concentration and model evaluation parameters; triangular random model was more sensitive to data changes, which could reduce the uncertainty. The contribution rate of nitrate-nitrogen concentration to risk was above 90%, which explained the need for random sampling to improve the evaluation results reliability. The findings in this paper will provide new insight for solving uncertainties in water safety management.