Numerical Modeling of Levee Failure Mechanisms by Integrating Seepage and Stability Processes
2025
Liaqat Ali | Shiro Konno | Yoshiya Igarashi | Norio Tanaka
Levee failures caused by prolonged flooding and elevated upstream water levels pose a significant risk to floodplain communities, especially as the number of extreme hydrological events increases under climate change. Understanding seepage-induced weakening and failure mechanisms is essential for improving levee design and resilience. This study develops a numerical framework that integrates unsaturated and saturated seepage analysis with slope stability evaluation to simulate seepage front progression and predict failure initiation. The model employs van Genuchten-based soil water retention properties and experimentally derived hydraulic conductivities, with results validated against five experimental cases with varying hydraulic conductivity contrasts between the levee body and foundation soils. The simulations reproduced seepage front evolution and slope deformation patterns with good agreement with experimental observations. In cases with high permeability contrasts, the model captured foundation-dominant seepage behavior, while moderate- and low-contrast scenarios showed close alignment with observed phreatic line development. Slight deviations were noted in failure timing, but the framework demonstrated potential for reproducing seepage-induced instability in levees. The findings contribute to understanding how the internal soil composition governs levee performance under flooding and provide a basis for developing seepage countermeasures and early warning tools. This approach offers practical value for risk-informed levee design and flood management.
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