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A probabilistic model estimating oil spill clean-up costs – A case study for the Gulf of Finland Texto completo
2013
Montewka, Jakub | Weckström, Mia | Kujala, P.
A probabilistic model estimating oil spill clean-up costs – A case study for the Gulf of Finland Texto completo
2013
Montewka, Jakub | Weckström, Mia | Kujala, P.
Existing models estimating oil spill costs at sea are based on data from the past, and they usually lack a systematic approach. This make them passive, and limits their ability to forecast the effect of the changes in the oil combating fleet or location of a spill on the oil spill costs.In this paper we make an attempt towards the development of a probabilistic and systematic model estimating the costs of clean-up operations for the Gulf of Finland. For this purpose we utilize expert knowledge along with the available data and information from literature. Then, the obtained information is combined into a framework with the use of a Bayesian Belief Networks. Due to lack of data, we validate the model by comparing its results with existing models, with which we found good agreement.We anticipate that the presented model can contribute to the cost-effective oil-combating fleet optimization for the Gulf of Finland. It can also facilitate the accident consequences estimation in the framework of formal safety assessment (FSA).
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]A probabilistic model estimating oil spill clean-up costs - a case study for the Gulf of Finland Texto completo
2013
Montewka, Jakub | Weckström, Mia | Kujala, Pentti
Existing models estimating oil spill costs at sea are based on data from the past, and they usually lack a systematic approach. This make them passive, and limits their ability to forecast the effect of the changes in the oil combating fleet or location of a spill on the oil spill costs. In this paper we make an attempt towards the development of a probabilistic and systematic model estimating the costs of clean-up operations for the Gulf of Finland. For this purpose we utilize expert knowledge along with the available data and information from literature. Then, the obtained information is combined into a framework with the use of a Bayesian Belief Networks. Due to lack of data, we validate the model by comparing its results with existing models, with which we found good agreement. We anticipate that the presented model can contribute to the cost-effective oil-combating fleet optimization for the Gulf of Finland. It can also facilitate the accident consequences estimation in the framework of formal safety assessment (FSA).
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Interfacial film formation: Influence on oil spreading rates in lab basin tests and dispersant effectiveness testing in a wave tank Texto completo
2013
King, Thomas L. | Clyburne, Jason A.C. | Lee, Kenneth | Robinson, Brian J.
Test facilities such as lab basins and wave tanks are essential when evaluating the use of chemical dispersants to treat oil spills at sea. However, these test facilities have boundaries (walls) that provide an ideal environment for surface (interfacial) film formation on seawater. Surface films may form from surfactants naturally present in crude oil as well as dispersant drift/overspray when applied to an oil spill. The objective of this study was to examine the impact of surface film formation on oil spreading rates in a small scale lab basin and on dispersant effectiveness conducted in a large scale wave tank. The process of crude oil spreading on the surface of the basin seawater was influenced in the presence of a surface film as shown using a 1st order kinetic model. In addition, interfacial film formation can greatly influence chemically dispersed crude oil in a large scale dynamic wave tank.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Effects of elevated CO2 on the reproduction of two calanoid copepods Texto completo
2013
McConville, Kristian | Halsband, Claudia | Fileman, Elaine S. | Somerfield, Paul J. | Findlay, Helen S. | Spicer, John I.
Effects of elevated CO2 on the reproduction of two calanoid copepods Texto completo
2013
McConville, Kristian | Halsband, Claudia | Fileman, Elaine S. | Somerfield, Paul J. | Findlay, Helen S. | Spicer, John I.
Some planktonic groups suffer negative effects from ocean acidification (OA), although copepods might be less sensitive. We investigated the effect of predicted CO2 levels (range 480–750ppm), on egg production and hatching success of two copepod species, Centropages typicus and Temora longicornis. In these short-term incubations there was no significant effect of high CO2 on these parameters. Additionally a very high CO2 treatment, (CO2=9830ppm), representative of carbon capture and storage scenarios, resulted in a reduction of egg production rate and hatching success of C. typicus, but not T. longicornis. In conclusion, reproduction of C. typicus was more sensitive to acute elevated seawater CO2 than that of T. longicornis, but neither species was affected by exposure to CO2 levels predicted for the year 2100. The duration and seasonal timing of exposures to high pCO2, however, might have a significant effect on the reproduction success of calanoid copepods.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Seawater carbonate chemistry and reproduction of the two calanoid copepods Centropages typicus and Temora longicornis in a laboratory experiment Texto completo
2013
McConville, Kristian | Halsband, Claudia | Fileman, Elaine S | Somerfield, Paul J | Findlay, Helen S | Spicer, John I
Some planktonic groups suffer negative effects from ocean acidification (OA), although copepods might be less sensitive. We investigated the effect of predicted CO2 levels (range 480-750 ppm), on egg production and hatching success of two copepod species, Centropages typicus and Temora longicornis. In these short-term incubations there was no significant effect of high CO2 on these parameters. Additionally a very high CO2 treatment, (CO2 = 9830 ppm), representative of carbon capture and storage scenarios, resulted in a reduction of egg production rate and hatching success of C. typicus, but not T. longicornis. In conclusion, reproduction of C. typicus was more sensitive to acute elevated seawater CO2 than that of T. longicornis, but neither species was affected by exposure to CO2 levels predicted for the year 2100. The duration and seasonal timing of exposures to high pCO2, however, might have a significant effect on the reproduction success of calanoid copepods.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Distribution of the genus Alexandrium (Halim) and paralytic shellfish toxins along the coastline of New South Wales, Australia Texto completo
2013
Farrell, Hazel | Brett, Steve | Ajani, Penelope | Murray, Shauna
Blooms of Alexandrium species, in particular the species Alexandrium catenella, accounted for more than 50% of algal related, shellfish aquaculture harvest zone closures in New South Wales (NSW) Australia since 2005. While there are indications that species of Alexandrium are more abundant than they were formerly, there is little data available on the spatial and temporal distribution and abundance of the genus in NSW. A six and a half year dataset comprising a total of 8649 fortnightly samples from 31 estuaries spread over 2000km of NSW coastline was analysed. The greatest abundances of Alexandrium spp. were observed during the austral Spring and Summer, in estuaries in the mid and southern latitudes of the state. In identifying these high risk zones, we propose variables such as season, temperature, rainfall and estuarine flushing to be targeted in intensive site specific studies, to support the development of predictive tools for resource managers.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Variations of 210Po and 210Pb concentration in mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis) from Didim and Izmir Bay (Turkish coast of Aegean Sea) Texto completo
2013
Aközcan, S. | Uğur Görgün, A.
In this study, the activity concentrations of 210Po and 210Pb were determined in mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis) collected from Didim and Izmir Bay (Turkish coast of Aegean Sea) during the period of April 2006–March 2007. The concentrations activity of 210Po were determined spectroscopically through its 5.30MeV alpha particle emission, using 209Po as an internal tracer. The 210Pb activity concentrations were determined from the ingrowth of 210Po, assuming zero initial 210Po activity. The results of 210Po and 210Pb activity concentrations were found to vary between 34±9 and 1855±98Bqkg−1 dry weight and ND (lower than limit of detection) – 64±6Bqkg−1 dry weight, respectively. 210Po/210Pb ratio ranged between 1.00 and 106.87. The highest 210Po activities were found in mussels collected from Didim.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Is the distribution of the lancelet Branchiostoma caribaeum affected by sewage discharges? An analysis at multiple scales of variability Texto completo
2013
Barboza, Carlos Alberto de Moura | Hadlich, Heliatrice Louise | Sandrini-Neto, Leonardo | Martins, César de Castro | Lana, Paulo da Cunha
Spatial variation in the density and biomass of Branchiostoma caribaeum was analyzed along a sewage contamination gradient identified by fecal steroids in a subtropical estuary, southern Brazil. Sampling, repeated in the austral winter and summer, followed a hierarchical design nested at four spatial scales (sector>1km; area>100m; site>10m; replicate<1m). Density and biomass were significantly lower at sites characterized by high concentrations of fecal steroids. The best combinations of variables that explained the biological similarities among sites involved contamination indicators. Most of the variation of biological data was found at the smallest scales and could be related with the sediment texture. Our study highlighted the usefulness of a multi-scale perspective to evaluate distribution patterns of benthic invertebrates as a biological indication of environmental pollution. Gradient analyses at larger spatial scales may be invalidated by the patchy distribution of benthic fauna if they do not account for such small scale variability.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Leisure boating noise as a trigger for the displacement of the bottlenose dolphins of the Cres–Lošinj archipelago (northern Adriatic Sea, Croatia) Texto completo
2013
Rako, Nikolina | Fortuna, Caterina Maria | Holcer, Draško | Mackelworth, Peter | Nimak-Wood, Maja | Pleslić, Grgur | Sebastianutto, Linda | Vilibić, Ivica | Wiemann, Annika | Picciulin, Marta
The waters of the Cres–Lošinj archipelago are subject to intense boat traffic related to the high number of leisure boats frequenting this area during the summer tourist season. Boat noise dominates the acoustic environment of the local bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus) population. This study investigates the spatial and temporal change in the underwater noise levels due to intense boating, and its effect on the distribution of the bottlenose dolphins. In the period 2007–2009 sea ambient noise (SAN) was sampled across ten acoustic stations. During data collection the presence of leisure boats was recorded if they were within 2km of the sampling station. Bottlenose dolphin spatial distribution was monitored in the same period. Results showed a strong positive correlation between high SAN levels and boat presence, particularly in the tourist season. Dolphin distribution indicated significant seasonal displacements from noisy areas characterized by the intense leisure boating.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Advanced diagnostics applied to fish liver tumours: Relating pathology to underlying molecular aetiology Texto completo
2013
Lerebours, Adélaïde | Bignell, John P. | Stentiford, Grant D. | Feist, Stephen W. | Lyons, Brett P. | Rotchell, Jeanette M.
Liver tumours in flatfish have been diagnosed using histopathology for decades in order to monitor the impacts of marine pollution in coastal and estuarine environments. This traditional method has been coupled with molecular analyses of tumours in the liver of the dab, Limanda limanda, in order to elucidate underpinning molecular level aetiology of such disease. A laser capture microdissection technique for molecular investigation of cancer has been applied in fish. The present study provides optimized steps for environmental sample utilisation: a procedure for field sample collection and handling; a method allowing reliable identification of lesions on frozen tissue sections; and, downstream molecular analyses of tumourigenesis markers (retinoblastoma gene) in laser microdissected samples. This approach facilitates the use of wild flatfish as a model of environmentally-induced tumourigenesis, and has wide applicability to any disease pathology for which the underpinning molecular aetiology is required.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]The effects of storm-drains with periodic flows on intertidal algal assemblages in ‘Ewa Beach (O‘ahu), Hawai‘i Texto completo
2013
Cox, T.E. | Foster, M.S.
Storm-water drainage systems have potential to collect and focus nutrient enriched runoff into coastal systems. Storm-drain effluent could support macroalgal production and result in altered communities. To test this hypothesis, we assessed species composition and percent cover of native and non-native benthic macroalgae at eight intertidal sites along ‘Ewa Beach, Hawai‘i. Three sites contain storm-drainage outlets (drain 16–52acres) that deliver effluent into the intertidal zone whereas five sites were located⩾100m away and served as comparisons to determine differences related to the presence of storm-water. Results revealed lush and diverse macroalgal assemblages, similar at all sites. Furthermore, the abundance of non-native species (Acanthophora spicifera, Hypnea musciformis) was not related to presence of storm-drains. The finding that macroalgal assemblages are not related to storm-waters is contrary to an earlier investigation in the same location and underscores the importance of sampling design and habitat variation when assessing impacts.
Mostrar más [+] Menos [-]Organochlorine pesticides and chlorobiphenyls in the blubber of bycaught female common dolphins from England and Wales from 1992–2006 Texto completo
2013
Law, Robin J. | Bersuder, Philippe | Barry, Jon | Barber, Jon | Deaville, Rob | Barnett, James | Jepson, Paul D.
We report concentrations of organochlorine pesticides (HCB, HCHs, DDTs, dieldrin) and PCBs in the blubber of 43 common dolphins bycaught in fisheries operating off the SW coast of the UK from 1992 to 2006. Concentrations of ΣDDT (summed p,p′-DDT and its metabolites, p,p′-DDE and p,p′-TDE) and of 25 summed CB congeners ranged from 0.2 to 16.1 and 2.1 to 62.4mgkg−1 lipid weight, respectively. Concentrations of sum HCH, HCB and dieldrin were lower, ranging from not detected to 0.14, 0.01 to 0.27 and 0.01 to 0.73mgkg−1 lipid weight, respectively. All contaminants studied showed a downward time trend but only that for HCHs was statistically significant. Overall, 72% of the dolphins analysed had blubber PCB concentrations above an established toxicity threshold value.
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