Economic model of Thai wheat: A simulation analysis
1994
Montree Preecha
Elasticities of planted areas with respect to 1-period lagged real price received by farmer and 1-period lagged planted area were 0.0004 and 0.37, respectively. The elasticities of yield with respect to a 1-period lagged yield and real price received by farmer were 0.16 and 0.01, respectively. The elasticities of domestic demand with respect to real price of wheat and real per capital income were -0.45 and 0.35, respectively, The elasticities of import demand with respective to real import price, real per capital income and real import tax were -0.22, 1.04 and -0.05, respectively. For the elasticities of real price of wheat received by the farmer with respect to real import price and quantities of wheat produced, they were 0.47 and -1.44, respectively. The 5-years forecasts of increasing in planted area, yield, domestic production, domestic demand, import demand and price received by farmer of wheat according to the 5 percent increased in per capital income were 10.78, 10.78, 22.75, 13.07, 10.80 and -4.24 percent, respectively.
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