Economic possibilities to replace partially wheat cultivation by clover in Egypt
2009
Sakr, A.M. | Hussein, Z.M.
The required area for wheat cultivation to achieve the mentioned ratio and next shortage in permanent clover area during the wheat area to about 320000 feddans in 2010 and 530000 feddans in 2015. In case of increasing the ratio to 70% it is required to increase wheat area to about 828000 feddans in 2015 to achieve 80% of self-sufficiency.The research dealt with calculation of fodders gap resultant from clover area shortage. By currying out this replacement, some social results show (three scenarios (60%, 70%, 80% ) in 2010, as the following: Saving irrigation water by 0.33, 0.084, 1.36 milliard cubic meters of water enough to cultivate wheat in the new lands in areas about 63.3, 168.9, 275.5 thousand feddans according to the mentioned scenarios respectively. Increasing employment to about 19700,51100,82100 job opportunities in case of achieving the said ratio. Decrease in the azotic fertilizers about 19.7, 49.7. 80.2 thousand tons effective unit, respectively to the said ratios and slight increase in the phosphatic fertilizers, estimated about 1.2, 3.1, 5.1 thousand tons effective unit. For the agricultural and trading balance, it was Clear that reduction value in wheat imports is nearly equal to the increase value in, meat and milk imports value required to be important to compensate shortage resultant from these two commodities due to clover area decrease. Decrease in agricultural income about 0.6, 1.4, 3 milliard Egyptian pound respectively.
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