Development prospects of milk production in various size farm groups in Latvia

Pilvere, I., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava; Nipers, A., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava; Krievina, A., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Priekuli, Priekuli Parish, Priekuli  Municipality . Inst. of Agricultural Resources and Economics; Upite, I., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava

Development prospects of milk production in various size farm groups in Latvia

2020

Pilvere, I., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava (Latvia) | Nipers, A., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava (Latvia) | Krievina, A., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Priekuli, Priekuli Parish, Priekuli Municipality (Latvia). Inst. of Agricultural Resources and Economics | Upite, I., Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava (Latvia)

World population growth will increase the demand for food, while rising incomes are expected to change the eating habits. Agriculture remains a major source of nutrients that may require drastic changes. Accordingly, it is necessary to project the potential future development of various agricultural sectors. Therefore, the overall aim of this study is to identify the development opportunities for dairy farms of various sizes in Latvia until 2050. In the period 2005−2018, Latvia experienced significant structural changes in dairy farming, as the production of cow’s milk and the sales of it for processing increased, while the numbers of dairy cows and dairy farms decreased significantly owing to the disappearance of small dairy farms (up to 5 cows). For this reason, it is required to project the future development of dairy farming. To generate projections for agricultural production in Latvia until 2050, the Latvian Agricultural Sector Analysis Model (LASAM) was developed at the Latvia University of Life Sciences and Technologies in 2016. Within this research project, the LASAM model was extended by a module for the distribution of farms by size. According to the projection generated by the LASAM model, the milk production in Latvia is expected to gradually increase to 1196.1 thou. t by 2050, while the number of dairy cows is expected to gradually decrease to 119.6 thou. (−17 % compared with 2018), which is determined by production intensification in dairy farming and expansion of large farms with more than 300 cows.

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Mots clés AGROVOC

accroissement de production augmentation de rendement aumento del rendimiento cambio estructural changement structurel dairy cows dairy farms development projects effectif du cheptel explotaciones agrarias grandes farm size grande exploitation agricole granjas lecheras intensification large farms latvia letonia lettonie livestock numbers milk production milk yield production increase proyectos de desarrollo rendement laitier rendimiento lechero simulation structural change taille de l'exploitation agricole vacas lecheras yield increases

Informations bibliographiques

Publié dans

Engineering for Rural Development. Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference (Latvia)

Numéro 19/2020 ISSN 1691-5976

Editeur

Latvia University of Life Sciences and Technologies

Pagination

p. 754−762

D'autres materias

Projet de developpement; Exploitation laitiere; Vache laitiere; Simulacion; Produccion lechera; Aumento de produccion; Numero de cabezas; Tamano de la finca; Production laitiere; Intensificacion

Langue

anglais

Note

Summary (En)

2 tables, 8 fig., 21 ref.

Type

Conference; Summary; Web Site; Ams

Source

19th International Scientific Conference “Engineering for Rural Developmentˮ. Proceedings, [Jelgava, Latvia,] May 20−22, 2020 (Online resource), Latvia Univ. of Life Sciences and Technologies, Jelgava (Latvia). Faculty of Engineering.- Jelgava (Latvia): Latvia University of Life Sciences and Technologies, 2020. International Scientific Conference: Engineering for Rural Development, 19, Jelgava (Latvia), 20−22 May 2020.- p. 754−762

Conférence

International Scientific Conference: Engineering for Rural Development, 19, Jelgava (Latvia), 20−22 May 2020

Sur AGRIS depuis: 2021-02-15

Format: AGRIS AP

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Cette notice bibliographique a été fournie par Fundamental Library of Latvia University of Life Sciences and Technologies

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Liens

DOI http://tf.llu.lv/conference/proceedings2020/Papers/TF172.pdf http://tf.llu.lv/conference/proceedings2020/

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