Socioeconomic considerations in biosafety decisionmaking | Methods and implementation

Despite the ongoing controversy over their use, genetically modified (GM) crops have progressively grown in popularity and are now planted in approximately 160 million hectares in 29 countries. In the discussions of biosafety regulations for GM crops and whether to approve such crops for commercialization, many countries, including some African nations, have gone beyond environmental assessments and are now introducing socioeconomic considerations as part of their decisionmaking process. There are, however, very few guidelines on how to ensure that this inclusion of socioeconomic considerations results in a robust and efficient decisionmaking process. Socioeconomic Considerations in Biosafety Decisionmaking: Methods and Implementation provides guidance to professionals involved in assessing the ex ante impact of a GM crop in the context of an approval process. Using the case of GM cotton in Uganda, the authors illustrate the evaluation of socioeconomic impact on farmers, the national economy, and trade.

Tables and Figures vii Abbreviations and Acronyms xi Foreword xiii Acknowledgments xv Chapter 1: Introduction Daniela Horna, Patricia Zambrano, and José Falck-Zepeda 1 Chapter 2: Research Framework José Falck-Zepeda, Daniela Horna, and Patricia Zambrano 15 Chapter 3: The Cotton Sector in Uganda Daniela Horna, Patricia Zambrano, and Theresa Sengooba 25 Chapter 4: Setting the Foundation:Uncovering Potential Constraints on the Delivery and Adoption of GM Cotton in Uganda Patricia Zambrano, José Falck-Zepeda, Theresa Sengooba, John Komen, and Daniela Horna 47 Chapter 5: Assessing Genetically Modified Cotton's Economic Impact on Farmers Daniela Horna, José Falck-Zepeda, and Miriam Kyotalimye Chapter 6: Economic Impact on the Cotton Sector José Falck-Zepeda, Daniela Horna, and Miriam Kyotalimye 95 Chapter 7: Alternatives for Coexistence of GM and Organic Cotton Production in Uganda Guillaume Gruère 129 Chapter 8: Conclusions and Recommendations Daniela Horna, Patricia Zambrano, and José Falck-Zepeda 145 Appendix 1: Household Survey Instrument 153 Appendix 2: Experts Consulted in Uganda, 2007 178 Appendix 3: Ginneries Report on Seed Cotton and Cotton Lint, October 7, 2007 179 Appendix 4: History of Organic Cotton in Uganda 180 Appendix 5: Net-Map Toolbox 182 Appendix 6: Stochastic Dominance 184 Appendix 7: Sensitivity Analysis of Marginal Benefits of the Organic Production Plus Premium Price Simulation 185 Appendix 8: Summary of the Net Present Value of Net Benefits from Economic Surplus Estimations 186 Appendix 9: Summary of Total Net Benefits Statistics from Economic Surplus Estimations 187 Appendix 10: Summary of Internal Rate of Return Statistics from Economic Surplus Estimations 188 References 189 Contributors 201 Index 205

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