Modification effects of ambient temperature on ozone-mortality relationships in Chengdu, China

Zhang, Ying; Tian, Qiqi; Feng, Xinyuan; Hu, Wendong; Ma, Pan; Xin, Jinyuan; Wang, Shigong; Zheng, Canjun

Modification effects of ambient temperature on ozone-mortality relationships in Chengdu, China

2022

A multitude of epidemiological studies have demonstrated that both ambient temperatures and air pollution are closely related to health outcomes. However, whether temperature has modification effects on the association between ozone and health outcomes is still debated. In this study, three parallel time-series Poisson generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to examine the effects of modifying ambient temperatures on the association between ozone and mortality (including non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality) in Chengdu, China, from 2014 to 2016. The results confirmed that the ambient high temperatures strongly amplified the adverse effects of ozone on human mortality; specifically, the ozone effects were most pronounced at > 28 °C. Without temperature stratification conditions, a 10-μg/m³ increase in the maximum 8-h average ozone (O₃–₈ₕₘₐₓ) level at lag01 was associated with increases of 0.40% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.15%, 0.65%), 0.61% (95% CI 0.27%, 0.95%), and 0.69% (95% CI 0.34%, 1.04%) in non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. On days during which the temperature exceeded 28 °C, a 10-μg/m³ increase in O₃–₈ₕₘₐₓ led to increases of 2.22% (95% CI 1.21%, 3.23%), 2.67% (95% CI 0.57%, 4.76%), and 4.13% (95% CI 2.34%, 5.92%) in non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality, respectively. Our findings validated that high temperature could further aggravate the health risks of O₃–₈ₕₘₐₓ; thus, mitigating ozone exposure will be brought into the limelight especially under the context of changing climate.

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