A stochastic matrix simulation of flower production in rose (Rosa x hybrida)
2004
Presnov, E. | Dayan, E. | Fuchs, M. | Plaut, Z.
In this study, we developed an age-structured model (based on difference equations) to investigate the dynamics of the number of flowering shoots produced by a greenhouse rose crop. It utilizes a matrix of coefficients based on past data of seasonal variation of flowering shoot production, assigning a random transition factor to express the number of new flowering shoots that appear after the harvest of mature flowers. An external sinusoidal forcing function modulates this random factor. The resulting calculation generates oscillations with amplitudes and periods similar to the measured production of the rose crop.
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