Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
2019
Radchuk, Viktoriia | Reed, Thomas | Teplitsky, Céline | van de Pol, Martijn | Charmantier, Anne | Hassall, Christopher | Adamik, Peter | Adriaensen, Frank | Ahola, Markus | Arcese, Peter | Miguel Avilés, Jesús | Balbontin, Javier | Berg, Karl | Borras, Antoni | Burthe, Sarah | Clobert, Jean | Dehnhard, Nina | de Lope, Florentino | Dhondt, André | Dingemanse, Niels | Doi, Hideyuki | Eeva, Tapio | Fickel, Joerns | Filella, Iolanda | Fossøy, Frode | Goodenough, Anne | Hall, Stephen, J.G. | Hansson, Bengt | Harris, Michael | Hasselquist, Dennis | Hickler, Thomas | Joshi, Jasmin | Kharouba, Heather | Martínez, Juan Gabriel | Mihoub, Jean-Baptiste | Mills, James | Molina-Morales, Mercedes | Moksnes, Arne | Ozgul, Arpat | Parejo, Deseada | Pilard, Philippe | Poisbleau, Maud | Rousset, François | Rödel, Mark-Oliver | Scott, David | Senar, Juan Carlos | Stefanescu, Constantí | Stokke, Bård | Kusano, Tamotsu | Tarka, Maja | Tarwater, Corey | Thonicke, Kirsten | Thorley, Jack | Wilting, Andreas | Tryjanowski, Piotr | Merilä, Juha | Sheldon, Ben | Pape Møller, Anders | Matthysen, Erik | Janzen, Fredric | Dobson, F. Stephen | Visser, Marcel | Beissinger, Steven | Courtiol, Alexandre | Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie | Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research (IZW) ; Leibniz Association = Leibniz Gemeinschaft = Wissenschaftsgemeinschaft Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz (LG / WGL) | University College Cork (UCC) | Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) ; Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE) ; Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [Occitanie])-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro) | Université de Montpellier (UM) | Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW) | University of Leeds | Palacky University Olomouc | Universiteit Antwerpen = University of Antwerp | Swedish Museum of Natural History (NRM) | Department of Forest and Conservation Sciences ; University of British Columbia [Canada] (UBC) | Experimental Station of Arid Zones (EEZA) ; Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas [España] = Spanish National Research Council [Spain] (CSIC) | Universidad de Sevilla = University of Seville | University of Texas Rio Grande Valley [Brownsville, TX] (UTRGV) | Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona | Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (UKCEH) ; Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) | Station d'écologie théorique et expérimentale (SETE) ; Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) ; Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse (Comue de Toulouse)-Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse (Comue de Toulouse)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) | Universidad de Extremadura - University of Extremadura (UEX) | Cornell University [New York] | Ludwig-Maximilians University [Munich] (LMU) | University of Hyogo | University of Turku | Centre for Ecological Research and Applied Forestries = Centre de Recerca Ecologica i Aplicacions Forestals (CREAF) ; Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas [España] = Spanish National Research Council [Spain] (CSIC) | Norwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA) | Norwegian University of Science and Technology [Trondheim] (NTNU) ; Norwegian University of Science and Technology = Norges Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet = Norjan teknis-luonnontieteellinen yliopisto (NTNU) | University of Gloucestershire [Gloucester] | Estonian University of Life Sciences (EMU) | Skane University Hospital [Lund] | Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F) ; Goethe University Frankfurt = Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main-Senckenberg – Leibniz Institution for Biodiversity and Earth System Research - Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung ; Leibniz Association = Leibniz Gemeinschaft = Wissenschaftsgemeinschaft Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz (LG / WGL)-Leibniz Association = Leibniz Gemeinschaft = Wissenschaftsgemeinschaft Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz (LG / WGL) | University of Potsdam = Universität Potsdam | Institute for Landscape and Open Space[Rapperswil] ; Hochschule für Technik Rapperswil (HSR) | University of Ottawa [Ottawa] | Universidad de Granada = University of Granada (UGR) | Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la COnservation (CESCO) ; Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) | Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas [España] = Spanish National Research Council [Spain] (CSIC) | Universität Zürich [Zürich] = University of Zurich (UZH) | Ligue pour la Protection des Oiseaux (LPO) | Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier (UMR ISEM) ; Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE) ; Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Institut de recherche pour le développement [IRD] : UR226-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) | Museum für Naturkunde [Berlin] | Savannah River Ecology Laboratory (SREL) ; University of Georgia [USA] | Tokyo Metropolitan University [Tokyo] (TMU) | University of Wyoming (UW) | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) | Imperial College London | University of Cambridge [Cambridge, UK] (CAM) | Poznan University of Life Sciences | Helsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki | Edward Grey Institute, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford ; University of Oxford | Ecologie Systématique et Evolution (ESE) ; Université Paris-Sud - Paris 11 (UP11)-AgroParisTech-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) | Iowa State University (ISU) | Department of Biological Sciences [Auburn] ; Auburn University (AU) | University of California [Berkeley] (UC Berkeley) ; University of California (UC) | Technical University of Berlin / Technische Universität Berlin (TUB)
International audience
Afficher plus [+] Moins [-]anglais. Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data from 71 studies reported in 58 relevant publications , to assess quantitatively whether phenotypic trait changes associated with climate change are adaptive in animals. A meta-analysis focussing on birds, the taxon best represented in our dataset, suggests that global warming has not systematically affected morphological traits, but has advanced phenological traits. We demonstrate that these advances are adaptive for some species, but imperfect as evidenced by the observed consistent selection for earlier timing. Application of a theoretical model indicates that the evolutionary load imposed by incomplete adaptive responses to ongoing climate change may already be threatening the persistence of species.
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