El clima y el ciclo hidrológico están estrechamente vinculados; de tal suerte que el incremento de temperatura y la variación en la precipitación esperados en los escenarios más probables de cambio climático tendrá un impacto importante en la disponibilidad de los recursos hídricos del mundo en general y de México en particular. Las variaciones de temperatura, nivel del mar y deshielo observadas y registradas en las últimas décadas en el hemisferio norte, y en particular en el trópico de cáncer, en el que se ubica México, confirman su alta vulnerabilidad ante el cambio climático. En general, en latitudes medianas y zonas subtropicales se prevén importantes disminuciones en la precipitación y por ende en el escurrimiento, lo que ocasionará escasez y presión sobre los recursos hídricos en tales regiones. Estas condiciones se están registrando ya en algunas de las principales cuencas hidrológicas de México y, de no adoptarse medidas de adaptación, estará en riesgo la suficiencia alimentaria del país. Por otra parte, se esperan lluvias más intensas y eventos extremos, que incrementarán la vulnerabilidad de algunas cuencas del sureste que ya registran problemas de inundaciones. Para lidiar con estos y otros efectos del cambio climático en el territorio mexicano, se requiere de mejores modelos basados en escenarios de cambio climático, y diseñar y priorizar acciones de adaptación en las regiones hidrológicas más vulnerables. | Climate and water cycles are so closely interrelated that the increased temperature and decreased precipitation expected by the most likely climate change scenarios will have a significant impact on the availability of water resources in Mexico and worldwide. Temperature, sea-level, and snow cover variations observed and recorded over the last few decades in the northern hemisphere -and specifically in the Tropic of Cancer where Mexico is located- attest to its high vulnerability to climate change. Reduced precipitation and less runoff are expected at middle and subtropical latitudes. These conditions have already been recorded in some of the main river basins in Mexico, and if no adaptation measures are taken, the country's food sufficiency will be in jeopardy. Meanwhile, heavier rains and increased extreme events are also expected to occur, making some watersheds in Mexico's southeast all the more vulnerable to floods. In order to deal with these and other effects of climate change in Mexico, better models are required -based on climate change scenarios- and adaptation actions need to be designed and prioritized in the country's most vulnerable hydrologic regions.

The pollution from anthropic activities has produced a pronounced alteration in both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. However, because of the position that they occupy in the landscape, limnic environments are susceptible to receive large amounts of pollutants, such as pesticides. This factors combined with the low capability of dilution enhance the harmful effects of toxic substances to the organisms within this habitat. Moreover, the increasing temperature, consequence of global climatic changes, also has a direct and indirect influence on ecological studies, once it affects especially ectothermic organisms which live within continental water bodies. The decrease of water’s oxygen, generally associated with a higher temperature, for example, is responsible for the lower quality of some aquatics habitats, threatening more sensitive organisms. The pollution and variations of temperature have restricted the habitat of many species of crustaceans of the genus Aegla to water springs since they prefer clean and well-oxygenated waters. These variables have influenced the metabolism and behavior of Aegla and might modify its oxidative state and consequently the survival of this species in case of environment alteration. In this way, the aim of this study was to assess the effects of temperature variation, water quality and the oxygen concentration under behavioral and oxidative stress parameters (using biomarkers) on gills, hepatopancreas and muscles of Aegla longirostri. Thus, animals were exposed to 18ºC, 21°C, 24°C and 26ºC for 48 hours under laboratory conditions; analysis of behavior’s feedback, lethality and antioxidant defense system were made. Beyond, we verified the alterations in the antioxidant system induced by moderated (2.5 ppm OD) and severe (1.5 ppm OD) hypoxia and different qualities of water (Anthropized and natural) and also the behavioral responses and lethality. The increase of temperature has affected significantly not just the behavioral response, but also the levels of almost all the antioxidants tested in different tissues. We have demonstrated that the variation of temperature, even in a short-term experiment, can induce an alteration of behavior both on activity and reaction’s time of the crustaceans. The antioxidant activity in animals exposed to moderate and severe hypoxia have increased in relation to those who had constant oxygenation. These results demonstrate that the animals need well-oxygenated waters to survive, and a lower oxygenation affected their antioxidant system and consequently the survival, which could have an impact on populations of A. longirostri. Worst quality waters have the potential of changing the behavior, by decreasing activity at night, which could compromise foraging behavior, for example. It is evident, by the increase in activity and level of most biomarkers evaluated, that these animals are sensitive to the presence of pesticides even in very small quantities. | Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES | A poluição consequente de atividades antrópicas tem causado alteração dos ecossistemas terrestres e aquáticos. Porém, devido a posição que ocupam na paisagem, ambientes límnicos estão propensos a receber grandes cargas de poluentes, como por exemplo pesticidas. Isto, aliado a menor capacidade de diluição, potencializa os efeitos nocivos de substâncias tóxicas aos organismos que ali habitam. Além disso, a temperatura em ascendência, reflexo da alteração climática global, também exerce influência direta e indireta em estudos ecológicos, uma vez que afeta especialmente organismos ectotérmicos que vivem em corpos d’água continentais. A diminuição de oxigênio na água, geralmente associada à temperatura mais alta, por exemplo, é responsável pela baixa qualidade de alguns habitats aquáticos, ameaçando organismos mais sensíveis. A poluição e variações na temperatura têm restringido o hábitat de muitas espécies de crustáceos do gênero Aegla às nascentes, visto que possuem preferência por água límpida e bem oxigenada. Estas variáveis influenciam o metabolismo e o comportamento de Aegla, podendo alterar o estado oxidativo e consequentemente a sobrevivência desta espécie caso seu ambiente seja alterado. Desta forma, avaliaram-se os efeitos da variação de temperatura, da qualidade da água e da concentração de oxigênio sob parâmetros comportamentais e de estresse oxidativo (através de biomarcadores) em brânquias, hepatopâncreas e músculo de Aegla longirostri. Os animais foram expostos, em condições laboratoriais, a temperaturas de 18ºC, 21°C, 24°C e 26ºC durante 48 horas; foram analisadas as respostas comportamentais, letalidade e o sistema de defesa antioxidante no crustáceo de água doce A. longirostri. Além disso, verificamos as alterações no sistema antioxidante induzidas por hipóxia moderada (2,5 ppm OD) e grave (1,5 ppm OD) e em águas de diferentes qualidades (antropizadas e naturais) e também as respostas comportamentais e a letalidade. O aumento da temperatura afetou significativamente não só a resposta comportamental, mas também os níveis de quase todos os antioxidantes testados em A. longirostri em diferentes tecidos. Nós demonstramos que a variação na temperatura, mesmo em um experimento a curto prazo, é capaz de induzir uma alteração no comportamento de atividade e no tempo de reação dos crustáceos. A atividade antioxidante em animais expostos à hipóxia moderada e grave aumentou em relação àqueles com oxigenação constante. Esses resultados demonstram que esses animais realmente exigem águas bem oxigenadas para sobreviver e que uma menor oxigenação afetaria o seu sistema antioxidante e consequentemente a sua sobrevivência, podendo assim impactar as populações de A. longirostri. Águas antropizadas têm o potencial de alterar o comportamento desses eglídeos, diminuindo sua atividade durante à noite, podendo comprometer o seu comportamento de forrageio, por exemplo. Além disso, fica evidente, através do aumento da atividade e do nível da maioria dos biomarcadores avaliados, que esses animais são sensíveis à presença de pesticidas mesmo que estes estejam presentes em quantidades muito pequenas.

The areal extent of permafrost in China has been reduced by about 18.6 % during the last 30 years. Due to the combined influences of climate warming and human activities, permafrost has been degrading extensively, with marked spatiotemporal variability. Distribution and thermal regimes of permafrost and seasonal freeze-thaw processes are closely related to groundwater dynamics. Permafrost degradation and changes in frost action have extensively affected cold-regions hydrogeology. Progress on some research programs on groundwater and permafrost in two regions of China are summarized. On the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and in mountainous northwest China, permafrost is particularly sensitive to climate change, and the permafrost hydrogeologic environment is vulnerable due to the arid climate, lower soil-moisture content, and sparse vegetative coverage, although anthropogenic activities have limited impact. In northeast China, permafrost is thermally more stable due to the moist climate and more organic soils, but the presence or preservation of permafrost is largely dependent on favorable surface coverage. Extensive and increasing human activities in some regions have considerably accelerated the degradation of permafrost, further complicating groundwater dynamics. In summary, permafrost degradation has markedly changed the cold-regions hydrogeology in China, and has led to a series of hydrological, ecological, and environmental problems of wide concern.

Numerical simulations of groundwater flow and heat transport are used to provide insight into the interaction between shallow groundwater flow and thermal dynamics related to permafrost thaw and thaw settlement at the Iqaluit Airport taxiway, Nunavut, Canada. A conceptual model is first developed for the site and a corresponding two-dimensional numerical model is calibrated to the observed ground temperatures. Future climate-warming impacts on the thermal regime and flow system are then simulated based on climate scenarios proposed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Under climate warming, surface snow cover is identified as the leading factor affecting permafrost degradation, including its role in increasing the sensitivity of permafrost degradation to changes in various hydrogeological factors. In this case, advective heat transport plays a relatively minor, but non-negligible, role compared to conductive heat transport, due to the significant extent of low-permeability soil close to surface. Conductive heat transport, which is strongly affected by the surface snow layer, controls the release of unfrozen water and the depth of the active layer as well as the magnitude of thaw settlement and frost heave. Under the warmest climate-warming scenario with an average annual temperature increase of 3.23 °C for the period of 2011–2100, the simulations suggest that the maximum depth of the active layer will increase from 2 m in 2012 to 8.8 m in 2100 and, over the same time period, thaw settlement along the airport taxiway will increase from 0.11 m to at least 0.17 m.

In cold regions, hydrologic systems possess seasonal and perennial ice-free zones (taliks) within areas of permafrost that control and are enhanced by groundwater flow. Simulation of talik development that follows lake formation in watersheds modeled after those in the Yukon Flats of interior Alaska (USA) provides insight on the coupled interaction between groundwater flow and ice distribution. The SUTRA groundwater simulator with freeze–thaw physics is used to examine the effect of climate, lake size, and lake–groundwater relations on talik formation. Considering a range of these factors, simulated times for a through-going sub-lake talik to form through 90 m of permafrost range from ∼200 to > 1,000 years (vertical thaw rates < 0.1–0.5 m yr⁻¹). Seasonal temperature cycles along lake margins impact supra-permafrost flow and late-stage cryologic processes. Warmer climate accelerates complete permafrost thaw and enhances seasonal flow within the supra-permafrost layer. Prior to open talik formation, sub-lake permafrost thaw is dominated by heat conduction. When hydraulic conditions induce upward or downward flow between the lake and sub-permafrost aquifer, thaw rates are greatly increased. The complexity of ground-ice and water-flow interplay, together with anticipated warming in the arctic, underscores the utility of coupled groundwater-energy transport models in evaluating hydrologic systems impacted by permafrost.