Relation of socio-economic and demographic factors in rural development of Serbia
2007
Čobanović, K., Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad (Serbia) | Nikolić-Đorić, E., Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad (Serbia) | Mutavdžić, B., Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad (Serbia)
The paper relates to the analysis of the relevant indicators of demographic and rural development of population of Serbia (Central Serbia and Vojvodina). Also, it presents some demographic-economic models based on the multiple linear regression. The source of data is the time series of selected economic and demographic variables over the period of 36 years (1970-2005). The dependant variable was gross domestic product (total and per capita) and the regressors were selected by the application of step-wise procedure. The results of the analysis have shown that the most influencing regressors on the dependent variables are some economic variables, like gross domestic product in agriculture, total number of the employed, the number of the employed persons in the social sector in agriculture, the number of the economically active in agriculture and some demographic variables, like death rates, natural increase rates, population density. The analysis of the tendency of share of agricultural GDP in total GDP and the results of regression analysis confirm that the gross domestic product of agriculture has still an important role in th process of development of Serbia.
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