Predicting growth of plantation conifers in the Adirondack Mountains in response to climate change
Pan, Y. | Raynal, D.J.
Three conifer species grown in plantations in the southeastern Adirondack Mountains of New York were chosen to model tree growth. Annual growth of trees was decomposed into several components that reflect various intrinsic or extrinsic factors. Growth signals indicative of climatic effects were used to construct growth-climate models using both multivariate regression analysis and Kalman filter methods. Two growth models were used to simulate tree growth response to future climate change projected by GCMs. The consistent results of both models indicate that different conifer species have individualistic growth responses to future climatic change. The response behaviors of trees are affected greatly by local stand conditions and species tolerance to drought.
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