Monitoring responses of forest to climate variations by MODIS NDVI: a case study of Hun River upstream, northeastern China

This study analyzed the temporal variation of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) of Hun River upstream forest in northeastern China and its correlation with climate parameters (temperature and precipitation) during the period of 2000–2009. We examined the interannual variation of forest, seasonal variation of forest and lag effects of climate variables (temperature and precipitation) on forest using simple regression and correlation. The objective of this paper was to compare the results of our research and previous researches and to show that the conclusions derived from broad-scale researches provided a direction of policy, but the local details were essential to local management. We found that the annual mean NDVI was significantly correlated with annual mean temperature. The forests studied in our research showed insignificant increase trends except for Fraxinus spp. forest. We concluded that the temperature was the limiting factor of vegetation growth in our study area and the forest which was in the core geographic area of its distribution was resilient to climate variation. When seasonal variation was examined, we found the largest increase trend of seasonal mean NDVI was in winter. The result was different from the outcome of previous research at national scale. There were 3 months lag effects of climate variables on vegetation of our study area in summer and autumn, which was consistent with researches at broad scales. The reasons of both difference and indifference were discussed in this paper. We also got information about tree species for local management using MODIS NDVI. The results of this work suggested that information from local scales would be important complements to researches at broad scales and were essential for local managers.